+3(-110)
SPREAD
-2.5(-110)
TOTAL · 50
O 50(-110)U 50.5(-110)
U 50.5(-110)+120
MONEYLINETOL 58%
-140
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #5 | +0.29 | SOS Played | +0.03 | #57 |
| #67 | -0.01 | SOS Remaining | -0.23 | #124 |
| Offense | ||||
| #123 | -0.27 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.06 | #52 |
| #129 | -0.15 | EPA / Play | +0.29 | #24 |
| #122 | 4.6 | Yards / Play | 6.9 | #21 |
| #129 | 31.6% | Success Rate | 43.6% | #56 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #19 | -0.21 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.03 | #63 |
| #88 | +0.19 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #87 |
| #75 | 5.9 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #47 |
| #105 | 46.3% | Success Rate | 39.6% | #46 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 SDSU Offense | vs |  TOL Defense | ||
| #137 | -0.38 | EPA / Pass | +0.40 | #114 |
| #93 | +0.02 | EPA / Rush | +0.04 | #49 |
| #117 | 32.6% | Available Yards % | 55.7% | #108 |
| #130 | Own 23 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 38 | #134 |
| #123 | -0.14 | Early Downs EPA | +0.10 | #78 |
| T-#118 | 29.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 48.6% | #105 |
| #115 | 8.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.9 | #118 |
| SDSU Defense | vs | TOL Offense | ||
| #76 | +0.18 | EPA / Pass | +0.35 | #35 |
| #101 | +0.19 | EPA / Rush | +0.19 | #34 |
| #70 | 45.7% | Available Yards % | 56.4% | #30 |
| #123 | Own 35 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #15 |
| #114 | +0.23 | Early Downs EPA | +0.45 | #1 |
| T-#30 | 33.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 38.5% | T-#80 |
| #59 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #54 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#77 | 2.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#22 |
| T-#122 | 1.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#42 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#62 |
| T-#86 | 1.5 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#42 |
| T-#35 | 5.5 | Penalties | 6.5 | T-#60 |
| #38 | 46.0 | Penalty Yards | 44.5 | T-#31 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#27 | 2.5 | Sacks | 2.5 | T-#27 |
| T-#73 | 0.5 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#104 |
| T-#50 | 0.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#50 |
| T-#58 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 0.5 | T-#109 |
| T-#43 | 7.5 | Penalties Drawn | 4.0 | T-#122 |
| T-#46 | 66.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 39.0 | T-#113 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#26 | 9-4 | Last Year Record (2025) | 8-5 | T-#50 |
| T-#134 | 1-5 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-3 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Sean Lewis | Head Coach | Mike Jacobs | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#109 |
| #96 | 36-44 | Career Record | 0-0 | |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 1,929 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jayden Denegal | QB | John Alan Richter | ||
| #124 | -0.07 | EPA / Att | +0.47 | #35 |
| #125 | 31.3% | Success Rate | 48.5% | #58 |
| #32 | 1.72 | Explosiveness | 1.91 | #10 |
| #83 | 5.6% | Sack Rate | 2.0% | #20 |
| #101 | -0.01 | Rush EPA | -0.49 | #123 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 83.6thRB | Javion Kinnard+10.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Adjatay Dabbs+28.2 | 95.0thWR |
| 69.0thTE | Jackson Ford+3.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Bryson Hammer+19.3 | 89.0thWR |
| 97.2thDB | Mike Lindsay+10.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Isaac Zay+13.7 | #8LB |
| 95.7thDL | Djibril Rahman+6.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Andrew Zock+10.0 | #17DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#110 | 2 | 4★ Players | 3 | T-#96 |
| T-#33 | 64 | 3★ Players | 57 | T-#71 |
| Transfers | ||||
11 in · 4 out | OFF Transfers | 16 in · 19 out | ||
14 in · 8 out | DEF Transfers | 14 in · 18 out | ||
| 99% | OFF Returning | 67% | ||
| 31% | DEF Returning | 32% | ||