+10.5(-110)
SPREAD
-10(-110)
TOTAL · 47.5
O 47.5(-110)U 47.5(-110)
U 47.5(-110)+350
MONEYLINEMSU 80%
-410
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #113 | -0.09 | SOS Played | +0.13 | #34 |
| — | SOS Remaining | — | ||
| OffenseTOL 2025 final · MSU 2025 final | ||||
| #59 | -0.00 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.03 | #77 |
| #52 | +0.13 | EPA / Play | +0.05 | #90 |
| #36 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #110 |
| #50 | 43.0% | Success Rate | 41.5% | #71 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #38 | -0.13 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.05 | #63 |
| #2 | -0.09 | EPA / Play | +0.17 | #99 |
| #3 | 4.5 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #79 |
| #4 | 34.7% | Success Rate | 44.6% | #101 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| TOL Offense | vs | MSU Defense | ||
| #48 | +0.17 | EPA / Pass | +0.16 | #78 |
| #67 | +0.10 | EPA / Rush | +0.17 | #109 |
| #70 | 45.5% | Available Yards % | 47.6% | #79 |
| #37 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #121 |
| #30 | +0.12 | Early Downs EPA | +0.14 | #117 |
| #98 | 37.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 41.2% | #66 |
| #116 | 7.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #88 |
| TOL Defense | vs | MSU Offense | ||
| #3 | -0.17 | EPA / Pass | +0.07 | #81 |
| #15 | -0.02 | EPA / Rush | +0.03 | #90 |
| #2 | 32.3% | Available Yards % | 41.6% | #98 |
| #39 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #87 |
| #8 | -0.11 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #59 |
| #17 | 34.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 35.8% | #110 |
| #37 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #96 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| #20 | 1.3 | Sacks Taken | 3.4 | #128 |
| T-#75 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#10 |
| T-#21 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#79 |
| T-#46 | 1.2 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#22 |
| #136 | 8.7 | Penalties | 5.5 | T-#48 |
| #136 | 75.4 | Penalty Yards | 48.1 | #43 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#12 | 2.8 | Sacks | 1.8 | T-#79 |
| T-#21 | 1.1 | INTs | 0.4 | T-#119 |
| T-#43 | 0.6 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.4 | T-#96 |
| T-#28 | 1.7 | Takeaways | 0.7 | T-#124 |
| #114 | 4.9 | Penalties Drawn | 5.5 | T-#92 |
| #119 | 39.7 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 44.1 | T-#107 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 8-5 | Last Year Record (2025) | 4-8 | T-#98 |
| T-#87 | 2-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-2 | T-#43 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Mike Jacobs | Head Coach | Pat Fitzgerald | ||
| T-#109 | 1 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#109 |
| 0-0 | Career Record | 110-101 | #79 | |
| Situation | ||||
| — | Rest | — | ||
| 86 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| — | QB | Alessio Milivojevic | ||
| — | EPA / Att | +0.22 | #76 | |
| — | Success Rate | 46.7% | #39 | |
| — | Explosiveness | 1.41 | #101 | |
| — | Sack Rate | 8.6% | #121 | |
| — | Rush EPA | +0.11 | #102 | |
| — | Last 8 · EPA / Att | |||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 95.0thWR | Adjatay Dabbs+28.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Rodney Bullard Jr.+18.0 | 87.3thWR |
| 89.0thWR | Bryson Hammer+19.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Jayden Savoury+11.3 | 91.2thTE |
| #8LB | Isaac Zay+13.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Kenny Soares Jr.+9.0 | 98.5thDL |
| #17DL | Andrew Zock+10.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Eli Coenen+6.8 | 95.6thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#96 | 3 | 4★ Players | 11 | T-#48 |
| T-#71 | 57 | 3★ Players | 58 | T-#65 |
| Transfers | ||||
16 in · 19 out | OFF Transfers | 12 in · 21 out | ||
14 in · 18 out | DEF Transfers | 13 in · 18 out | ||
| 67% | OFF Returning | 17% | ||
| 32% | DEF Returning | 20% | ||