+3(-110)
SPREAD
-3(-110)
TOTAL · 45
O 45(-110)
U 45.5(-110)
U 45.5(-110)+125
MONEYLINEAF 59%
-145
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #118 | -0.16 | SOS Played | -0.03 | #75 |
| #61 | +0.04 | SOS Remaining | -0.18 | #117 |
| Offense | ||||
| #105 | -0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.11 | #31 |
| #95 | +0.05 | EPA / Play | +0.27 | #24 |
| #54 | 6.0 | Yards / Play | 5.9 | #64 |
| #61 | 43.0% | Success Rate | 46.6% | #30 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #118 | +0.18 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.03 | #81 |
| #101 | +0.23 | EPA / Play | +0.16 | #79 |
| #77 | 6.0 | Yards / Play | 7.2 | #124 |
| #91 | 45.0% | Success Rate | 40.3% | #49 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| NAVY Offense | vs | AF Defense | ||
| #138 | -0.38 | EPA / Pass | +0.05 | #44 |
| #17 | +0.25 | EPA / Rush | +0.25 | #115 |
| #73 | 45.4% | Available Yards % | 54.7% | #110 |
| #110 | Own 26 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #123 |
| #114 | -0.07 | Early Downs EPA | +0.07 | #66 |
| #56 | 43.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.6% | #66 |
| #66 | 7.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.6 | #39 |
| NAVY Defense | vs | AF Offense | ||
| #122 | +0.43 | EPA / Pass | +0.41 | #18 |
| #46 | +0.05 | EPA / Rush | +0.23 | #25 |
| #96 | 51.1% | Available Yards % | 55.1% | #27 |
| #137 | Own 39 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #29 |
| #102 | +0.18 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #72 |
| #124 | 51.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 52.6% | T-#13 |
| #95 | 6.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.7 | #8 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#132 | 4.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#20 |
| T-#54 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#89 |
| T-#131 | 1.5 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#109 | 2.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#48 |
| #37 | 5.5 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#74 |
| T-#15 | 40.0 | Penalty Yards | 67.5 | #105 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| #13 | 3.5 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#57 |
| T-#81 | 0.5 | INTs | 0.5 | T-#81 |
| T-#114 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#114 |
| T-#118 | 0.5 | Takeaways | 0.5 | T-#118 |
| T-#72 | 6.5 | Penalties Drawn | 5.0 | T-#112 |
| T-#70 | 57.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 43.0 | #113 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#127 | 1-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-2 | T-#43 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Brian Newberry | Head Coach | Troy Calhoun | ||
| T-#44 | 4 | Seasons at School | 20 | #2 |
| #22 | 26-12 | Career Record | 139-97 | #53 |
| Situation | ||||
| 8 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 1,515 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jackson Gutierrez | QB | Liam Szarka | ||
| #131 | -0.02 | EPA / Att | +0.12 | #112 |
| #126 | 36.0% | Success Rate | 40.7% | #109 |
| #2 | 2.19 | Explosiveness | 1.74 | #28 |
| #135 | 19.4% | Sack Rate | 6.7% | #102 |
| #15 | +0.58 | Rush EPA | +0.46 | #33 |
| — | Last 8 · EPA / Att | |||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 76.5thWR | Michael Barrow+11.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Matt Long+18.6 | 88.3thWR |
| 76.9thRB | Vic Listorti+7.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Rocco Conti+8.1 | 77.8thRB |
| 94.5thLB | Defender · Havoc EPA | Blake Fletcher+12.3 | #12LB | |
| 95.3thDL | Aiden Lyczek+6.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Max Mustell+8.5 | 95.6thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#129 | 0 | 4★ Players | 0 | T-#129 |
| #136 | 10 | 3★ Players | 5 | #138 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 2 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 1 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 1 out | ||
| 14% | OFF Returning | 57% | ||
| 40% | DEF Returning | 67% | ||