-4.5(-110)
SPREAD
+4.5(-108)
TOTAL · 45
O 45(-110)U 45.5(-115)
U 45.5(-115)-205
MONEYLINEDUKE 67%
+225
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #121 | -0.14 | SOS Played | +0.01 | #69 |
| #58 | +0.04 | SOS Remaining | +0.13 | #37 |
| Offense | ||||
| #70 | -0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.03 | #56 |
| #24 | +0.25 | EPA / Play | +0.07 | #88 |
| #52 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 5.9 | #65 |
| #82 | 40.9% | Success Rate | 43.1% | #53 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #12 | -0.22 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.19 | #127 |
| #14 | -0.07 | EPA / Play | +0.23 | #104 |
| #20 | 5.0 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #65 |
| #37 | 38.3% | Success Rate | 41.5% | #62 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 DUKE Offense | vs |  GT Defense | ||
| #40 | +0.28 | EPA / Pass | +0.43 | #126 |
| #23 | +0.23 | EPA / Rush | +0.09 | #58 |
| #46 | 49.5% | Available Yards % | 55.8% | #116 |
| #34 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #122 |
| #24 | +0.22 | Early Downs EPA | +0.08 | #69 |
| T-#77 | 40.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 50.0% | T-#120 |
| #39 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #96 |
| DUKE Defense | vs | GT Offense | ||
| #24 | -0.05 | EPA / Pass | +0.01 | #97 |
| #17 | -0.09 | EPA / Rush | +0.14 | #60 |
| #26 | 35.8% | Available Yards % | 46.6% | #66 |
| #21 | Own 26 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #81 |
| #56 | +0.03 | Early Downs EPA | +0.03 | #82 |
| #2 | 25.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 39.5% | T-#83 |
| #33 | 7.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.9 | #113 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| #3 | 0.3 | Sacks Taken | 2.7 | T-#103 |
| T-#35 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#90 |
| T-#51 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.7 | T-#86 |
| T-#22 | 0.7 | Turnovers | 1.7 | T-#99 |
| #132 | 9.3 | Penalties | 8.7 | T-#125 |
| #132 | 81.7 | Penalty Yards | 67.0 | T-#104 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#45 | 2.3 | Sacks | 1.0 | T-#109 |
| T-#97 | 0.3 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#126 |
| T-#44 | 0.7 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#125 |
| T-#68 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 0.0 | T-#137 |
| T-#10 | 9.0 | Penalties Drawn | 9.3 | T-#6 |
| T-#18 | 75.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 92.0 | #2 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#13 | 4-1 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 1-4 | T-#127 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Manny Diaz | Head Coach | Brent Key | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#30 |
| #40 | 39-24 | Career Record | 27-20 | #62 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 14 days | ||
| 345 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Walker Eget | QB | Alberto Mendoza | ||
| #44 | +0.41 | EPA / Att | +0.32 | #61 |
| #71 | 46.2% | Success Rate | 48.0% | #52 |
| #62 | 1.52 | Explosiveness | 1.51 | #72 |
| #3 | 1.1% | Sack Rate | 6.8% | #98 |
| #127 | -0.37 | Rush EPA | +0.39 | #40 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #1RB | Nate Sheppard+50.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Jordan Allen+25.9 | 94.0thWR |
| #20TE | Jeremiah Hasley+17.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Dalen Penson+18.7 | 88.5thWR |
| 94.9thDL | Bryce Davis+6.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Tawfiq Thomas+8.9 | 98.4thDL |
| 94.4thDL | Tyshon Reed+6.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Kelvin Hill+6.4 | 91.6thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 2 | T-#18 |
| T-#70 | 7 | 4★ Players | 11 | T-#48 |
| T-#15 | 69 | 3★ Players | 66 | T-#27 |
| Transfers | ||||
11 in · 8 out | OFF Transfers | 10 in · 11 out | ||
8 in · 9 out | DEF Transfers | 8 in · 5 out | ||
| 16% | OFF Returning | 11% | ||
| 33% | DEF Returning | 45% | ||