Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #118 | -0.12 | SOS Played | -0.12 | #117 |
| #87 | -0.07 | SOS Remaining | -0.14 | #107 |
| Offense | ||||
| #80 | -0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.02 | #52 |
| #48 | +0.19 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #43 |
| #41 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #91 |
| #53 | 43.6% | Success Rate | 48.3% | #23 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #86 | +0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.01 | #71 |
| #77 | +0.14 | EPA / Play | +0.06 | #48 |
| #97 | 6.4 | Yards / Play | 6.5 | #107 |
| #104 | 45.3% | Success Rate | 39.1% | #44 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 CONN Offense | vs |  AF Defense | ||
| #65 | +0.14 | EPA / Pass | +0.09 | #61 |
| #28 | +0.23 | EPA / Rush | +0.04 | #44 |
| #50 | 49.7% | Available Yards % | 45.0% | #66 |
| #77 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #75 |
| #33 | +0.17 | Early Downs EPA | +0.08 | #74 |
| T-#76 | 40.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 33.9% | #25 |
| #127 | 8.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.5 | #37 |
| CONN Defense | vs | AF Offense | ||
| #94 | +0.22 | EPA / Pass | -0.04 | #116 |
| #49 | +0.05 | EPA / Rush | +0.24 | #22 |
| #119 | 55.9% | Available Yards % | 55.5% | #24 |
| #81 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #41 |
| #55 | +0.04 | Early Downs EPA | +0.04 | #86 |
| #109 | 46.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 56.8% | #3 |
| #83 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.3 | #3 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#129 | 3.4 | Sacks Taken | 0.8 | T-#9 |
| T-#11 | 0.2 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#95 |
| T-#109 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#41 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#41 |
| #123 | 8.2 | Penalties | 4.8 | T-#16 |
| #108 | 68.0 | Penalty Yards | 44.8 | #26 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#77 | 1.8 | Sacks | 1.5 | T-#96 |
| T-#40 | 0.8 | INTs | 0.5 | T-#87 |
| T-#40 | 0.6 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.3 | T-#102 |
| T-#42 | 1.4 | Takeaways | 0.8 | T-#111 |
| T-#116 | 5.0 | Penalties Drawn | 4.8 | T-#123 |
| T-#99 | 49.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 41.5 | #121 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#22 | 4-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-2 | T-#43 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Jason Candle | Head Coach | Troy Calhoun | ||
| T-#109 | 1 | Seasons at School | 20 | #2 |
| #31 | 81-44 | Career Record | 139-97 | #53 |
| Situation | ||||
| 8 days | Rest | 8 days | ||
| 1,697 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Kalieb Osborne | QB | Kemper Hodges | ||
| #40 | +0.39 | EPA / Att | -0.18 | #133 |
| #35 | 49.7% | Success Rate | 21.4% | #133 |
| #22 | 1.70 | Explosiveness | 2.23 | #1 |
| #109 | 7.8% | Sack Rate | 17.6% | #133 |
| #31 | +0.44 | Rush EPA | +0.38 | #33 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | — | |||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #18RB | Cyncir Bowers+27.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Matt Long+18.6 | 88.3thWR |
| 85.6thWR | Shamar Porter+16.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Rocco Conti+8.1 | 77.8thRB |
| #24LB | K'Von Sherman+10.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Blake Fletcher+12.3 | #12LB |
| 98.0thDL | Anas Luqman+8.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Max Mustell+8.5 | 95.6thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#76 | 6 | 4★ Players | 0 | T-#129 |
| T-#40 | 63 | 3★ Players | 5 | #138 |
| Transfers | ||||
27 in · 26 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
28 in · 21 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 1 out | ||
| 2% | OFF Returning | 57% | ||
| 2% | DEF Returning | 67% | ||