+12.5(-110)
SPREAD
-8.5(-110)
TOTAL · 44.5
O 44.5(-110)U 44.5(-110)
U 44.5(-110)+370
MONEYLINELOU 76%
-320
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #130 | -0.12 | SOS Played | +0.10 | #46 |
| #15 | +0.28 | SOS Remaining | +0.14 | #36 |
| Offense | ||||
| #67 | -0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.04 | #42 |
| #52 | +0.14 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #61 |
| #33 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 6.2 | #40 |
| #51 | 43.2% | Success Rate | 44.4% | #40 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #31 | -0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.23 | #11 |
| #2 | -0.12 | EPA / Play | -0.05 | #9 |
| #2 | 4.3 | Yards / Play | 4.9 | #9 |
| #4 | 33.4% | Success Rate | 37.4% | #18 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 TOL Offense | vs |  LOU Defense | ||
| #42 | +0.20 | EPA / Pass | -0.09 | #10 |
| #72 | +0.09 | EPA / Rush | +0.00 | #27 |
| #70 | 45.9% | Available Yards % | 34.5% | #12 |
| #36 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #27 |
| #27 | +0.14 | Early Downs EPA | -0.04 | #24 |
| #100 | 37.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 33.5% | #13 |
| #100 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #76 |
| TOL Defense | vs | LOU Offense | ||
| #3 | -0.20 | EPA / Pass | +0.07 | #77 |
| #11 | -0.05 | EPA / Rush | +0.16 | #34 |
| #4 | 31.3% | Available Yards % | 42.3% | #93 |
| #34 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #5 |
| #3 | -0.14 | Early Downs EPA | +0.08 | #48 |
| #16 | 34.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 36.7% | #104 |
| #31 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.3 | #99 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#14 | 1.1 | Sacks Taken | 2.0 | T-#80 |
| T-#86 | 0.9 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#20 |
| T-#16 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.6 | T-#95 |
| T-#55 | 1.2 | Turnovers | 1.2 | T-#55 |
| T-#134 | 8.2 | Penalties | 6.5 | T-#88 |
| T-#134 | 73.2 | Penalty Yards | 60.7 | T-#102 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#13 | 2.9 | Sacks | 2.1 | T-#54 |
| T-#16 | 1.2 | INTs | 1.3 | T-#13 |
| T-#50 | 0.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#69 |
| T-#21 | 1.7 | Takeaways | 1.7 | T-#21 |
| T-#115 | 4.8 | Penalties Drawn | 6.7 | T-#39 |
| #120 | 39.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 55.5 | T-#60 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#3 | 10-3 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 4-9 | T-#126 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Robert Weiner | Head Coach | Jeff Brohm | ||
| T-#125 | 1 | Seasons at School | 4 | T-#50 |
| T-#139 | 0-1 | Career Record | 94-56 | #37 |
| Situation | ||||
| 24 days | Rest | 24 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Tucker Gleason | QB | Miller Moss | ||
| #50 | +0.28 | EPA / Att | +0.19 | #87 |
| #41 | 46.8% | Success Rate | 44.5% | #69 |
| #23 | 1.60 | Explosiveness | 1.39 | #108 |
| #8 | 1.9% | Sack Rate | 4.5% | #60 |
| #27 | +0.42 | Rush EPA | +0.59 | #4 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #21WR | Junior Vandeross III+63.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Chris Bell+57.1 | 97.2thWR |
| 94.2thRB | Chip Trayanum+29.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Keyjuan Brown+26.7 | 92.2thRB |
| #5DB | Braden Awls+30.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Antonio Watts+22.3 | #19LB |
| 95.7thDB | Defender · Havoc EPA | TJ Quinn+20.4 | 97.9thLB | |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#75 | 5 | 4★ Players | 14 | T-#39 |
| #2 | 72 | 3★ Players | 45 | T-#74 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||