-2.5(-110)
SPREAD
+2.5(-110)
TOTAL · 54.5
O 54.5(-110)U 54.5(-110)
U 54.5(-110)-142
MONEYLINESMU 59%
+145
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #50 | +0.09 | SOS Played | +0.12 | #35 |
| — | SOS Remaining | — | ||
| OffenseSMU 2025 final · FSU 2025 final | ||||
| #20 | +0.13 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.13 | #17 |
| #24 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #26 |
| #23 | 6.5 | Yards / Play | 6.8 | #15 |
| #53 | 42.8% | Success Rate | 46.1% | #21 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #20 | -0.17 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.07 | #53 |
| #22 | -0.00 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #74 |
| #39 | 5.5 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #25 |
| #43 | 40.0% | Success Rate | 41.6% | #55 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 SMU Offense | vs |  FSU Defense | ||
| #28 | +0.25 | EPA / Pass | +0.16 | #79 |
| #42 | +0.15 | EPA / Rush | +0.08 | #61 |
| #71 | 45.3% | Available Yards % | 42.8% | #41 |
| #95 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #83 |
| #24 | +0.14 | Early Downs EPA | +0.04 | #59 |
| #57 | 42.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.9% | #82 |
| #47 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #112 |
| SMU Defense | vs | FSU Offense | ||
| #60 | +0.09 | EPA / Pass | +0.17 | #49 |
| #2 | -0.13 | EPA / Rush | +0.22 | #14 |
| #49 | 44.2% | Available Yards % | 57.7% | #9 |
| #105 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #81 |
| #30 | -0.02 | Early Downs EPA | +0.09 | #44 |
| #37 | 38.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 48.5% | #14 |
| #81 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #56 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#27 | 1.4 | Sacks Taken | 2.1 | T-#85 |
| T-#97 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#71 |
| T-#21 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.8 | T-#124 |
| T-#78 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 1.6 | T-#107 |
| #102 | 6.9 | Penalties | 5.6 | T-#50 |
| #130 | 69.8 | Penalty Yards | 46.3 | #35 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| #17 | 2.8 | Sacks | 2.5 | T-#28 |
| #9 | 1.3 | INTs | 0.9 | T-#52 |
| T-#18 | 0.8 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#124 |
| T-#5 | 2.1 | Takeaways | 1.1 | T-#88 |
| T-#37 | 6.8 | Penalties Drawn | 6.3 | T-#54 |
| #39 | 59.7 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 53.4 | #70 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#26 | 9-4 | Last Year Record (2025) | 5-7 | T-#83 |
| T-#87 | 2-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-4 | T-#106 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Rhett Lashlee | Head Coach | Mike Norvell | ||
| T-#30 | 5 | Seasons at School | 7 | T-#15 |
| #17 | 38-16 | Career Record | 76-50 | #49 |
| Situation | ||||
| — | Rest | 9 days | ||
| 752 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Kevin Jennings | QB | Ashton Daniels | ||
| #48 | +0.28 | EPA / Att | +0.14 | #105 |
| #49 | 45.8% | Success Rate | 44.1% | #65 |
| #35 | 1.56 | Explosiveness | 1.21 | #132 |
| #34 | 3.6% | Sack Rate | 0.0% | #1 |
| #110 | +0.06 | Rush EPA | +2.75 | #1 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 95.6thRB | Kendrick Raphael+20.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Ousmane Kromah+20.0 | 94.9thRB |
| 90.0thWR | Yamir Knight+19.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Micahi Danzy+18.7 | 88.6thWR |
| 97.4thDB | Jarvis Lee+10.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Rylan Kennedy+10.3 | T-#13DL |
| 97.9thDL | Marques White+8.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Mikai Gbayor+5.9 | 90.0thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#23 | 1 | 5★ Players | 1 | T-#23 |
| T-#31 | 20 | 4★ Players | 28 | #22 |
| T-#95 | 49 | 3★ Players | 50 | T-#92 |
| Transfers | ||||
7 in · 10 out | OFF Transfers | 10 in · 19 out | ||
9 in · 11 out | DEF Transfers | 8 in · 16 out | ||
| 56% | OFF Returning | 39% | ||
| 31% | DEF Returning | 49% | ||