Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #23 | +0.12 | SOS Played | -0.05 | #90 |
| #54 | +0.06 | SOS Remaining | +0.13 | #34 |
| Offense | ||||
| #85 | -0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.01 | #67 |
| #106 | +0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #72 |
| #125 | 4.8 | Yards / Play | 5.5 | #94 |
| #51 | 43.7% | Success Rate | 42.4% | #65 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #58 | -0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.17 | #18 |
| #93 | +0.19 | EPA / Play | -0.11 | #2 |
| #75 | 5.9 | Yards / Play | 4.5 | #4 |
| #73 | 42.4% | Success Rate | 32.8% | #4 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 MSU Offense | vs |  MICH Defense | ||
| #108 | -0.01 | EPA / Pass | -0.15 | #6 |
| #91 | +0.05 | EPA / Rush | -0.08 | #14 |
| #68 | 46.4% | Available Yards % | 33.1% | #9 |
| T-#22 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #72 |
| #97 | +0.00 | Early Downs EPA | -0.14 | #5 |
| T-#54 | 43.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 32.9% | #20 |
| #9 | 5.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #47 |
| MSU Defense | vs | MICH Offense | ||
| #103 | +0.27 | EPA / Pass | +0.19 | #54 |
| #74 | +0.11 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #84 |
| #89 | 49.0% | Available Yards % | 40.8% | #97 |
| #71 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #83 |
| #105 | +0.16 | Early Downs EPA | +0.04 | #85 |
| #82 | 42.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 44.4% | T-#46 |
| #101 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #65 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| #122 | 3.2 | Sacks Taken | 1.6 | T-#50 |
| T-#71 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#81 |
| T-#68 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#119 |
| T-#58 | 1.2 | Turnovers | 1.8 | T-#114 |
| #6 | 4.2 | Penalties | 7.6 | T-#100 |
| #13 | 39.8 | Penalty Yards | 66.4 | T-#101 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#115 | 1.2 | Sacks | 2.2 | T-#46 |
| T-#109 | 0.3 | INTs | 0.8 | T-#40 |
| T-#128 | 0.2 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#112 |
| T-#127 | 0.5 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#74 |
| #126 | 4.7 | Penalties Drawn | 4.8 | #122 |
| #128 | 37.2 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 36.0 | #129 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#43 | 3-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-3 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Pat Fitzgerald | Head Coach | Kyle Whittingham | ||
| T-#109 | 1 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#109 |
| #79 | 110-101 | Career Record | 177-88 | #26 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 49 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Alessio Milivojevic | QB | Bryce Underwood | ||
| #90 | +0.23 | EPA / Att | +0.26 | #75 |
| #41 | 49.0% | Success Rate | 48.7% | #46 |
| #113 | 1.38 | Explosiveness | 1.51 | #71 |
| #123 | 9.4% | Sack Rate | 6.5% | #96 |
| #65 | +0.25 | Rush EPA | +0.07 | #97 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 87.3thWR | Rodney Bullard Jr.+18.0 | Playmaker · PPA | JJ Buchanan+29.2 | 95.6thWR |
| 91.2thTE | Jayden Savoury+11.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Andrew Marsh+14.6 | 83.7thWR |
| 98.5thDL | Kenny Soares Jr.+9.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | 94.0thLB | |
| 95.6thDL | Eli Coenen+6.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Smith Snowden+6.6 | 92.0thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 4 | T-#11 |
| T-#48 | 11 | 4★ Players | 42 | T-#10 |
| T-#65 | 58 | 3★ Players | 38 | T-#115 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 21 out | OFF Transfers | 4 in · 14 out | ||
13 in · 18 out | DEF Transfers | 7 in · 9 out | ||
| 17% | OFF Returning | 70% | ||
| 20% | DEF Returning | 28% | ||