Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #23 | +0.12 | SOS Played | -0.03 | #78 |
| #54 | +0.06 | SOS Remaining | -0.04 | #72 |
| Offense | ||||
| #85 | -0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.13 | #29 |
| #106 | +0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.22 | #32 |
| #125 | 4.8 | Yards / Play | 6.8 | #19 |
| #51 | 43.7% | Success Rate | 46.6% | #33 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #58 | -0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.25 | #7 |
| #93 | +0.19 | EPA / Play | -0.20 | #1 |
| #75 | 5.9 | Yards / Play | 5.2 | #28 |
| #73 | 42.4% | Success Rate | 32.2% | #2 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 MSU Offense | vs |  UCLA Defense | ||
| #108 | -0.01 | EPA / Pass | -0.24 | #2 |
| #91 | +0.05 | EPA / Rush | -0.15 | #4 |
| #68 | 46.4% | Available Yards % | 32.2% | #8 |
| T-#22 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #9 |
| #97 | +0.00 | Early Downs EPA | -0.18 | #3 |
| T-#54 | 43.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 27.2% | #4 |
| #9 | 5.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.4 | #6 |
| MSU Defense | vs | UCLA Offense | ||
| #103 | +0.27 | EPA / Pass | +0.09 | #81 |
| #74 | +0.11 | EPA / Rush | +0.31 | #5 |
| #89 | 49.0% | Available Yards % | 52.9% | #31 |
| #71 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 36 | #2 |
| #105 | +0.16 | Early Downs EPA | +0.20 | #27 |
| #82 | 42.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 41.2% | #67 |
| #101 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.3 | #25 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| #122 | 3.2 | Sacks Taken | 1.6 | T-#50 |
| T-#71 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#81 |
| T-#68 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 0.6 | T-#79 |
| T-#58 | 1.2 | Turnovers | 1.4 | T-#84 |
| #6 | 4.2 | Penalties | 9.8 | T-#135 |
| #13 | 39.8 | Penalty Yards | 84.2 | #136 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#115 | 1.2 | Sacks | 1.8 | T-#77 |
| T-#109 | 0.3 | INTs | 2.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#128 | 0.2 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.8 | #1 |
| T-#127 | 0.5 | Takeaways | 3.8 | #1 |
| #126 | 4.7 | Penalties Drawn | 5.4 | T-#108 |
| #128 | 37.2 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 49.2 | #102 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#43 | 3-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 5-0 | T-#1 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Pat Fitzgerald | Head Coach | Bob Chesney | ||
| T-#109 | 1 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#109 |
| #79 | 110-101 | Career Record | 21-6 | #10 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 6 days | ||
| 1,902 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Alessio Milivojevic | QB | Nico Iamaleava | ||
| #90 | +0.23 | EPA / Att | +0.23 | #88 |
| #41 | 49.0% | Success Rate | 42.2% | #97 |
| #113 | 1.38 | Explosiveness | 1.52 | #70 |
| #123 | 9.4% | Sack Rate | 5.6% | #81 |
| #65 | +0.25 | Rush EPA | +0.01 | #104 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 87.3thWR | Rodney Bullard Jr.+18.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Wayne Knight+43.8 | #4RB |
| 91.2thTE | Jayden Savoury+11.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Anthony Woods+15.5 | 91.4thRB |
| 98.5thDL | Kenny Soares Jr.+9.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Ta'Shawn James+19.4 | #3DB |
| 95.6thDL | Eli Coenen+6.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Sammy Omosigho+10.0 | 97.5thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 1 | T-#23 |
| T-#48 | 11 | 4★ Players | 18 | T-#36 |
| T-#65 | 58 | 3★ Players | 64 | T-#33 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 21 out | OFF Transfers | 20 in · 14 out | ||
13 in · 18 out | DEF Transfers | 20 in · 10 out | ||
| 17% | OFF Returning | 58% | ||
| 20% | DEF Returning | 41% | ||