+13(-110)
SPREAD
-12.5(-110)
TOTAL · 55.5
O 55.5(-110)U 56(-110)
U 56(-110)+500
MONEYLINEMRSH 84%
-535
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #133 | -0.14 | SOS Played | +0.28 | #13 |
| — | SOS Remaining | -0.06 | #73 | |
| OffenseMTSU 2025 final | ||||
| #115 | -0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.42 | #94 |
| #105 | +0.03 | EPA / Play | -0.36 | #93 |
| #75 | 5.7 | Yards / Play | 2.9 | #91 |
| #76 | 41.3% | Success Rate | 29.6% | #83 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #119 | +0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.09 | #72 |
| #77 | +0.13 | EPA / Play | +0.43 | #81 |
| #114 | 6.4 | Yards / Play | 7.5 | #80 |
| #86 | 43.3% | Success Rate | 50.0% | T-#73 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| MTSU Offense | vs | MRSH Defense | ||
| #73 | +0.08 | EPA / Pass | +0.93 | #93 |
| #122 | -0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.11 | #56 |
| #79 | 43.6% | Available Yards % | 64.4% | #80 |
| #106 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #79 |
| #75 | +0.03 | Early Downs EPA | +0.25 | #74 |
| #93 | 38.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 55.6% | T-#77 |
| #71 | 7.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.9 | #79 |
| MTSU Defense | vs | MRSH Offense | ||
| #111 | +0.26 | EPA / Pass | -0.06 | #72 |
| #24 | +0.01 | EPA / Rush | -0.73 | #94 |
| #67 | 46.3% | Available Yards % | 18.0% | #89 |
| #53 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 23 | #82 |
| #79 | +0.07 | Early Downs EPA | -0.28 | #86 |
| #43 | 38.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 15.4% | #89 |
| #67 | 7.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.3 | #59 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#96 | 2.3 | Sacks Taken | 2.0 | T-#46 |
| T-#40 | 0.6 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#49 |
| T-#53 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#56 |
| T-#41 | 1.1 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#65 |
| T-#120 | 7.5 | Penalties | 4.0 | T-#12 |
| #127 | 69.3 | Penalty Yards | 45.0 | T-#37 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#92 | 1.7 | Sacks | 1.0 | T-#50 |
| T-#52 | 0.9 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#49 |
| T-#96 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#43 |
| T-#66 | 1.3 | Takeaways | 0.0 | T-#67 |
| #131 | 4.2 | Penalties Drawn | 4.0 | T-#71 |
| #120 | 39.6 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 45.0 | T-#54 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#117 | 3-9 | Last Year Record (2025) | 5-7 | T-#83 |
| T-#22 | 4-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 1-5 | T-#134 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Derek Mason | Head Coach | Tony Gibson | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#78 |
| #119 | 33-73 | Career Record | 5-7 | T-#102 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 281 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Roman Gagliano | QB | Zion Turner | ||
| #68 | +0.32 | EPA / Att | +0.40 | #18 |
| #57 | 50.0% | Success Rate | 46.3% | #45 |
| #91 | 1.34 | Explosiveness | 1.54 | #40 |
| #1 | 0.0% | Sack Rate | 3.6% | #31 |
| #3 | +1.45 | Rush EPA | -0.09 | #126 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 92.1thWR | Cam'ron Lacy+21.8 | Playmaker · PPA | 95.9thWR | |
| 68.2thWR | Markus Allen+7.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Judah Price+16.1 | 91.7thRB |
| 85.8thDB | James Johnson+5.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Javae Gilmore+8.6 | 96.1thLB |
| 84.6thDB | Jackson Lowe+4.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | 92.0thDB | |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#91 | 4 | 4★ Players | 5 | T-#83 |
| T-#88 | 51 | 3★ Players | 64 | T-#33 |
| Transfers | ||||
8 in · 9 out | OFF Transfers | 10 in · 6 out | ||
9 in · 9 out | DEF Transfers | 15 in · 7 out | ||
| 34% | OFF Returning | 93% | ||
| 30% | DEF Returning | 87% | ||