Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #9 | +0.18 | SOS Played | +0.12 | #23 |
| #40 | +0.11 | SOS Remaining | +0.06 | #54 |
| Offense | ||||
| #105 | -0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.07 | #85 |
| #110 | +0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #106 |
| #51 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 4.8 | #125 |
| #111 | 38.1% | Success Rate | 43.7% | #51 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #10 | -0.24 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.04 | #58 |
| #45 | +0.06 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #93 |
| #83 | 6.0 | Yards / Play | 5.9 | #75 |
| #53 | 40.2% | Success Rate | 42.4% | #73 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 ORE Offense | vs |  MSU Defense | ||
| #82 | +0.09 | EPA / Pass | +0.27 | #103 |
| #123 | -0.07 | EPA / Rush | +0.11 | #74 |
| #86 | 43.0% | Available Yards % | 49.0% | #89 |
| #26 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #71 |
| #50 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.16 | #105 |
| #129 | 29.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.2% | #82 |
| #82 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.5 | #101 |
| ORE Defense | vs | MSU Offense | ||
| #56 | +0.07 | EPA / Pass | -0.01 | #108 |
| #41 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.05 | #91 |
| #69 | 45.5% | Available Yards % | 46.4% | #68 |
| #92 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | T-#22 |
| #86 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.00 | #97 |
| #12 | 31.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 43.6% | T-#54 |
| #126 | 6.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.6 | #9 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#47 | 1.5 | Sacks Taken | 3.2 | #122 |
| T-#41 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.7 | T-#71 |
| T-#137 | 1.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#68 |
| T-#132 | 2.3 | Turnovers | 1.2 | T-#58 |
| T-#70 | 6.8 | Penalties | 4.2 | #6 |
| T-#90 | 62.8 | Penalty Yards | 39.8 | #13 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#88 | 1.8 | Sacks | 1.2 | T-#115 |
| T-#11 | 1.3 | INTs | 0.3 | T-#109 |
| T-#102 | 0.3 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#128 |
| T-#33 | 1.5 | Takeaways | 0.5 | T-#127 |
| T-#116 | 5.0 | Penalties Drawn | 4.7 | #126 |
| #117 | 44.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 37.2 | #128 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#87 | 2-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-2 | T-#43 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dan Lanning | Head Coach | Pat Fitzgerald | ||
| T-#30 | 5 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#109 |
| #5 | 48-8 | Career Record | 110-101 | #79 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 1,922 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Dylan Raiola | QB | Alessio Milivojevic | ||
| #57 | +0.32 | EPA / Att | +0.23 | #90 |
| #58 | 47.3% | Success Rate | 49.0% | #41 |
| #89 | 1.46 | Explosiveness | 1.38 | #113 |
| #38 | 3.5% | Sack Rate | 9.4% | #123 |
| #109 | -0.02 | Rush EPA | +0.25 | #65 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #23TE | Jamari Johnson+14.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Rodney Bullard Jr.+18.0 | 87.3thWR |
| 79.5thWR | Jeremiah McClellan+12.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Jayden Savoury+11.3 | 91.2thTE |
| #19LB | Matayo Uiagalelei+10.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Kenny Soares Jr.+9.0 | 98.5thDL |
| 96.2thDB | Koi Perich+9.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Eli Coenen+6.8 | 95.6thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#6 | 8 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| #17 | 35 | 4★ Players | 11 | T-#48 |
| T-#129 | 26 | 3★ Players | 58 | T-#65 |
| Transfers | ||||
6 in · 15 out | OFF Transfers | 12 in · 21 out | ||
6 in · 14 out | DEF Transfers | 13 in · 18 out | ||
| 74% | OFF Returning | 17% | ||
| 70% | DEF Returning | 20% | ||