-3.5(-110)
SPREAD
+3.5(-110)
TOTAL · 60.5
O 60.5(-110)U 60.5(-110)
U 60.5(-110)-140
MONEYLINEORE 58%
+154
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #78 | -0.04 | SOS Played | +0.04 | #56 |
| #23 | +0.14 | SOS Remaining | +0.22 | #8 |
| Offense | ||||
| #93 | -0.14 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.28 | #8 |
| #95 | +0.04 | EPA / Play | +0.36 | #12 |
| #45 | 6.4 | Yards / Play | 7.4 | #12 |
| #92 | 38.7% | Success Rate | 57.1% | #2 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #43 | -0.10 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #85 |
| #38 | +0.04 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #89 |
| #96 | 6.4 | Yards / Play | 6.1 | #84 |
| T-#61 | 41.5% | Success Rate | 42.9% | T-#78 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| ORE Offense | vs | USC Defense | ||
| #93 | +0.05 | EPA / Pass | +0.26 | #91 |
| #92 | +0.02 | EPA / Rush | +0.11 | #77 |
| #71 | 44.7% | Available Yards % | 43.4% | #58 |
| #14 | Own 36 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #22 |
| #30 | +0.21 | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #87 |
| #126 | 27.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.4% | #63 |
| #60 | 6.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #89 |
| ORE Defense | vs | USC Offense | ||
| #18 | -0.09 | EPA / Pass | +0.56 | #11 |
| #94 | +0.17 | EPA / Rush | +0.16 | #43 |
| #71 | 45.8% | Available Yards % | 73.0% | #2 |
| #74 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #46 |
| #84 | +0.12 | Early Downs EPA | +0.28 | #18 |
| #29 | 32.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 62.7% | #3 |
| #119 | 5.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.6 | #13 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#103 | 2.5 | Sacks Taken | 0.8 | #21 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#42 |
| T-#100 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.5 | T-#62 |
| T-#42 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#42 |
| T-#116 | 8.5 | Penalties | 6.5 | T-#60 |
| #123 | 78.0 | Penalty Yards | 56.8 | #75 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#66 | 1.5 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#43 |
| T-#25 | 1.0 | INTs | 0.8 | T-#58 |
| T-#99 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.3 | #98 |
| T-#58 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#58 |
| T-#136 | 2.5 | Penalties Drawn | 3.8 | #128 |
| T-#130 | 27.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 31.0 | #128 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#2 | 13-2 | Last Year Record (2025) | 9-4 | T-#26 |
| T-#87 | 2-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-5 | T-#125 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dan Lanning | Head Coach | Lincoln Riley | ||
| T-#30 | 5 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#30 |
| #5 | 48-8 | Career Record | 90-28 | #12 |
| Situation | ||||
| 8 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 740 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Dante Moore | QB | Jayden Maiava | ||
| #53 | +0.38 | EPA / Att | +0.67 | #11 |
| #55 | 48.9% | Success Rate | 66.1% | #3 |
| #14 | 1.85 | Explosiveness | 1.39 | #96 |
| #92 | 6.3% | Sack Rate | 1.7% | #14 |
| #103 | -0.03 | Rush EPA | -1.33 | #127 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #23TE | Jamari Johnson+14.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Trent Mosley+29.8 | 96.0thWR |
| 79.5thWR | Jeremiah McClellan+12.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Kayden Dixon-Wyatt+28.5 | 95.3thWR |
| #19LB | Matayo Uiagalelei+10.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Prophet Brown+10.2 | 96.9thDB |
| 96.2thDB | Koi Perich+9.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Luke Wafle+7.8 | 97.1thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#6 | 8 | 5★ Players | 4 | T-#11 |
| #17 | 35 | 4★ Players | 44 | #8 |
| T-#129 | 26 | 3★ Players | 33 | T-#120 |
| Transfers | ||||
6 in · 15 out | OFF Transfers | 2 in · 11 out | ||
6 in · 14 out | DEF Transfers | 7 in · 12 out | ||
| 74% | OFF Returning | 59% | ||
| 70% | DEF Returning | 55% | ||