+24.5(-110)
SPREAD
-23.5(-110)
TOTAL · 59.5
O 59.5(-110)U 59.5(-110)
U 59.5(-110)+1300
MONEYLINEND 95%
-2000
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #20 | +0.19 | SOS Played | +0.28 | #7 |
| #26 | +0.23 | SOS Remaining | +0.13 | #52 |
| Offense | ||||
| #32 | +0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.19 | #13 |
| #44 | +0.17 | EPA / Play | +0.25 | #25 |
| #40 | 6.4 | Yards / Play | 7.2 | #13 |
| #51 | 44.2% | Success Rate | 47.8% | #22 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #71 | -0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.27 | #14 |
| #99 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | +0.06 | #47 |
| #107 | 6.5 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #61 |
| #21 | 36.6% | Success Rate | 42.4% | #71 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 NCSU Offense | vs |  ND Defense | ||
| #26 | +0.32 | EPA / Pass | +0.02 | #40 |
| #88 | +0.03 | EPA / Rush | +0.10 | #77 |
| #46 | 50.3% | Available Yards % | 43.4% | #54 |
| #107 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #70 |
| #45 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.00 | #51 |
| #50 | 44.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 38.8% | #46 |
| #111 | 7.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.1 | #12 |
| NCSU Defense | vs | ND Offense | ||
| #88 | +0.20 | EPA / Pass | +0.37 | #19 |
| #109 | +0.19 | EPA / Rush | +0.15 | #41 |
| #89 | 50.3% | Available Yards % | 57.3% | #22 |
| #101 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #34 |
| #49 | -0.00 | Early Downs EPA | +0.24 | #12 |
| #110 | 48.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 47.7% | #29 |
| #42 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.1 | #71 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#69 | 1.8 | Sacks Taken | 1.4 | T-#42 |
| T-#78 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 0.4 | T-#29 |
| T-#17 | 0.2 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#57 |
| T-#41 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 0.8 | T-#34 |
| T-#40 | 5.2 | Penalties | 5.8 | #62 |
| #44 | 45.2 | Penalty Yards | 49.0 | #55 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#102 | 1.4 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#56 |
| T-#77 | 0.6 | INTs | 1.6 | T-#10 |
| T-#119 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#108 |
| T-#112 | 0.6 | Takeaways | 1.8 | T-#27 |
| T-#30 | 7.2 | Penalties Drawn | 9.0 | T-#4 |
| #20 | 69.2 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 76.8 | #8 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 7-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 6-6 | T-#62 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Doeren | Head Coach | Marcus Freeman | ||
| #5 | 14 | Seasons at School | 6 | T-#26 |
| #42 | 118-74 | Career Record | 43-12 | #9 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| CJ Bailey | QB | C.J. Carr | ||
| #26 | +0.47 | EPA / Att | +0.52 | #16 |
| #14 | 54.1% | Success Rate | 54.0% | #15 |
| #46 | 1.57 | Explosiveness | 1.65 | #28 |
| #49 | 3.7% | Sack Rate | 4.5% | #67 |
| #94 | +0.16 | Rush EPA | +0.40 | #48 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 93.6thWR | Terrell Anderson+43.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Jeremiyah Love+48.9 | #7RB |
| 85.5thWR | Wesley Grimes+31.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Jordan Faison+42.2 | 92.5thWR |
| T-#23LB | Caden Fordham+21.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Leonard Moore+25.1 | 98.8thDB |
| 96.4thDB | Devon Marshall+19.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Brauntae Johnson+19.3 | 96.1thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 2 | T-#20 |
| T-#31 | 18 | 4★ Players | 57 | #1 |
| T-#50 | 51 | 3★ Players | 29 | #114 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||