+8.5(-110)
SPREAD
-7.5(-110)
TOTAL · 45.5
O 45.5(-110)U 47.5(-110)
U 47.5(-110)+310
MONEYLINECAL 76%
-320
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #92 | -0.01 | SOS Played | +0.00 | #88 |
| #59 | +0.10 | SOS Remaining | +0.06 | #70 |
| Offense | ||||
| #111 | -0.17 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.19 | #114 |
| #119 | -0.03 | EPA / Play | -0.01 | #116 |
| #120 | 4.9 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #83 |
| #111 | 37.7% | Success Rate | 39.4% | #98 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #122 | +0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.07 | #68 |
| #113 | +0.23 | EPA / Play | +0.11 | #69 |
| #99 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #62 |
| #104 | 45.4% | Success Rate | 40.9% | #52 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UNC Offense | vs |  CAL Defense | ||
| #122 | -0.07 | EPA / Pass | +0.10 | #59 |
| #96 | +0.01 | EPA / Rush | +0.13 | #88 |
| #129 | 31.5% | Available Yards % | 43.8% | #50 |
| #112 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #102 |
| #108 | -0.02 | Early Downs EPA | +0.07 | #77 |
| T-#110 | 35.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.3% | #59 |
| #90 | 7.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.9 | #18 |
| UNC Defense | vs | CAL Offense | ||
| #121 | +0.35 | EPA / Pass | +0.06 | #94 |
| #59 | +0.07 | EPA / Rush | -0.09 | #123 |
| #118 | 56.1% | Available Yards % | 39.9% | #102 |
| #96 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #42 |
| #87 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | -0.07 | #118 |
| #118 | 49.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.0% | T-#61 |
| #5 | 8.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #77 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| #35 | 1.3 | Sacks Taken | 2.6 | T-#102 |
| T-#60 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 1.4 | T-#127 |
| T-#74 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 0.2 | T-#18 |
| T-#76 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 1.6 | T-#100 |
| T-#39 | 5.3 | Penalties | 7.4 | T-#107 |
| #62 | 51.3 | Penalty Yards | 51.8 | #64 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| #131 | 0.8 | Sacks | 1.4 | T-#97 |
| #67 | 0.8 | INTs | 0.8 | T-#50 |
| T-#93 | 0.3 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.4 | T-#59 |
| T-#82 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 1.2 | T-#62 |
| T-#70 | 6.0 | Penalties Drawn | 8.0 | T-#13 |
| #59 | 56.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 70.4 | #14 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#84 | 5-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-8 | T-#103 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Bill Belichick | Head Coach | Justin Wilcox | ||
| T-#90 | 2 | Seasons at School | 9 | T-#125 |
| T-#118 | 4-8 | Career Record | 48-55 | #93 |
| Situation | ||||
| 13 days | Rest | 13 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Max Johnson | QB | Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | ||
| #114 | +0.10 | EPA / Att | +0.08 | #116 |
| #105 | 41.4% | Success Rate | 44.3% | #77 |
| #127 | 1.17 | Explosiveness | 1.37 | #105 |
| #9 | 1.4% | Sack Rate | 4.8% | #69 |
| #46 | +0.38 | Rush EPA | -0.15 | #129 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 91.4thWR | Jordan Shipp+40.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Jacob De Jesus+54.4 | 96.9thWR |
| 70.0thWR | Kobe Paysour+16.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Trond Grizzell+53.1 | 96.3thWR |
| 97.5thDL | Melkart Abou Jaoude+15.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Hezekiah Masses+30.1 | #6DB |
| 95.0thLB | Andrew Simpson+15.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Cade Uluave+16.9 | 95.8thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#34 | 17 | 4★ Players | 14 | T-#39 |
| T-#57 | 49 | 3★ Players | 51 | T-#50 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||