FINAL
Aggie Memorial Stadium
-2.5(-110)
SPREAD
+2.5(-110)
TOTAL · 51.5
O 51.5(-110)U 51.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)-125
MONEYLINEMOST 56%
+120
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #78 | +0.02 | SOS Played | -0.16 | #133 |
| #118 | -0.13 | SOS Remaining | -0.10 | #107 |
| Offense | ||||
| #97 | -0.10 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.21 | #121 |
| #96 | +0.06 | EPA / Play | -0.03 | #120 |
| #48 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 4.7 | #127 |
| #123 | 36.2% | Success Rate | 33.9% | #130 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #111 | +0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.05 | #79 |
| #123 | +0.24 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #30 |
| #126 | 6.8 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #56 |
| #124 | 48.4% | Success Rate | 41.5% | #59 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| MOST Offense | vs | NMSU Defense | ||
| #84 | +0.10 | EPA / Pass | +0.13 | #68 |
| #98 | +0.01 | EPA / Rush | -0.06 | #15 |
| #85 | 42.7% | Available Yards % | 48.3% | #81 |
| #64 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #49 |
| #56 | +0.08 | Early Downs EPA | +0.01 | #45 |
| #135 | 25.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 41.3% | T-#66 |
| #136 | 9.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.3 | #122 |
| MOST Defense | vs | NMSU Offense | ||
| #115 | +0.30 | EPA / Pass | +0.03 | #101 |
| #106 | +0.16 | EPA / Rush | -0.12 | #131 |
| #96 | 51.4% | Available Yards % | 40.7% | #101 |
| #66 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #16 |
| #133 | +0.25 | Early Downs EPA | -0.17 | #134 |
| #53 | 39.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 44.7% | #46 |
| #97 | 6.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.7 | #115 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| #137 | 4.2 | Sacks Taken | 2.8 | T-#108 |
| T-#121 | 1.2 | INTs Thrown | 0.6 | T-#41 |
| T-#31 | 0.2 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#127 |
| T-#93 | 1.4 | Turnovers | 1.6 | T-#106 |
| T-#76 | 6.4 | Penalties | 6.4 | T-#76 |
| #114 | 67.2 | Penalty Yards | 61.4 | #93 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#90 | 1.6 | Sacks | 1.2 | T-#117 |
| T-#110 | 0.4 | INTs | 1.2 | #25 |
| T-#69 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#8 |
| T-#110 | 0.8 | Takeaways | 2.2 | #7 |
| #21 | 7.4 | Penalties Drawn | 7.2 | T-#28 |
| #7 | 72.6 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 62.6 | #32 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 7-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 6-6 | T-#62 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Nick Petrino | Head Coach | Tony Sanchez | ||
| T-#125 | 1 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#64 |
| T-#139 | 0-1 | Career Record | 27-57 | #126 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 8 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Deuce Bailey | QB | Logan Fife | ||
| #105 | +0.15 | EPA / Att | +0.29 | #62 |
| #126 | 35.0% | Success Rate | 43.0% | #89 |
| #2 | 1.90 | Explosiveness | 1.59 | #36 |
| #70 | 4.8% | Sack Rate | 5.7% | #97 |
| #75 | +0.26 | Rush EPA | +0.07 | #109 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 88.5thWR | Jmariyae Robinson+34.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Donovan Faupel+33.3 | 87.7thWR |
| 87.5thWR | Tristian Gardner+33.1 | Playmaker · PPA | PJ Johnson III+19.5 | 73.9thWR |
| 95.1thDB | Jordan Dunbar+17.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bernock Iya+22.0 | 97.8thDB |
| 91.2thLB | Kanye Young+13.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jamall Thompson Jr.+19.1 | #20DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#90 | 3 | 4★ Players | 2 | T-#102 |
| #126 | 23 | 3★ Players | 24 | T-#123 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||