-7(-110)
SPREAD
+7.5(-110)
TOTAL · 44.5
O 44.5(-110)U 45.5(-110)
U 45.5(-110)-240
MONEYLINEOHIO 71%
+210
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #129 | -0.11 | SOS Played | -0.18 | #136 |
| #118 | -0.14 | SOS Remaining | -0.02 | #94 |
| Offense | ||||
| #68 | -0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.27 | #134 |
| #43 | +0.16 | EPA / Play | -0.04 | #127 |
| #40 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 5.2 | #113 |
| #47 | 43.6% | Success Rate | 36.7% | #122 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #74 | -0.03 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.01 | #91 |
| #29 | +0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.07 | #51 |
| #88 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #30 |
| #54 | 41.2% | Success Rate | 38.8% | #28 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 OHIO Offense | vs |  BUF Defense | ||
| #67 | +0.11 | EPA / Pass | +0.12 | #68 |
| #22 | +0.19 | EPA / Rush | +0.02 | #32 |
| #39 | 51.0% | Available Yards % | 37.1% | #19 |
| #28 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #57 |
| #41 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.01 | #45 |
| #41 | 44.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 39.4% | #49 |
| #51 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #92 |
| OHIO Defense | vs | BUF Offense | ||
| #28 | -0.01 | EPA / Pass | -0.03 | #122 |
| #51 | +0.06 | EPA / Rush | -0.05 | #124 |
| #61 | 45.4% | Available Yards % | 37.8% | #115 |
| #54 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #37 |
| #40 | +0.00 | Early Downs EPA | -0.06 | #121 |
| #27 | 35.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 32.5% | #129 |
| #111 | 6.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.5 | #107 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#85 | 2.1 | Sacks Taken | 2.1 | T-#85 |
| T-#79 | 0.9 | INTs Thrown | 1.1 | T-#113 |
| T-#34 | 0.4 | Fumbles Lost | 0.8 | T-#120 |
| T-#72 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 1.9 | T-#123 |
| T-#85 | 6.6 | Penalties | 5.8 | T-#56 |
| #53 | 50.3 | Penalty Yards | 47.4 | #39 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#80 | 1.8 | Sacks | 2.9 | T-#12 |
| T-#44 | 0.9 | INTs | 0.6 | T-#82 |
| T-#79 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#56 |
| T-#57 | 1.3 | Takeaways | 1.1 | T-#86 |
| #129 | 4.4 | Penalties Drawn | 4.8 | T-#114 |
| #123 | 38.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 36.5 | #130 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#62 | 6-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 4-7 | T-#114 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Brian Smith | Head Coach | Pete Lembo | ||
| T-#125 | 1 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#64 |
| T-#25 | 8-4 | Career Record | 47-40 | #66 |
| Situation | ||||
| 10 days | Rest | 9 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Parker Navarro | QB | Ta'Quan Roberson | ||
| #66 | +0.26 | EPA / Att | +0.16 | #96 |
| #27 | 49.2% | Success Rate | 39.6% | #113 |
| #103 | 1.38 | Explosiveness | 1.43 | #87 |
| #105 | 6.4% | Sack Rate | 4.9% | #73 |
| #60 | +0.29 | Rush EPA | +0.12 | #101 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #12WR | Chase Hendricks+66.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Victor Snow+49.5 | 95.6thWR |
| 94.3thRB | Sieh Bangura+29.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Nik McMillan+41.6 | 92.1thWR |
| 93.6thDB | DJ Walker+15.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Red Murdock+16.7 | 95.7thLB |
| 91.2thDB | Tank Pearson+14.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Mitchell Gonser+16.1 | 95.2thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#128 | 0 | 4★ Players | 1 | T-#112 |
| T-#62 | 48 | 3★ Players | 47 | T-#65 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||