+18.5(-110)
SPREAD
-18(-110)
TOTAL · 49.5
O 49.5(-110)U 50(-110)
U 50(-110)+800
MONEYLINEALA 93%
-1350
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #94 | -0.11 | SOS Played | -0.14 | #100 |
| #19 | +0.11 | SOS Remaining | +0.28 | #4 |
| Offense | ||||
| #45 | +0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.03 | #50 |
| #38 | +0.24 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #48 |
| #64 | 5.8 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #63 |
| #61 | 41.5% | Success Rate | 50.7% | #21 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #117 | +0.17 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.27 | #5 |
| #101 | +0.25 | EPA / Play | -0.27 | #5 |
| #112 | 7.0 | Yards / Play | 4.1 | #12 |
| T-#92 | 45.5% | Success Rate | 28.6% | #8 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 FSU Offense | vs |  ALA Defense | ||
| #51 | +0.22 | EPA / Pass | -0.11 | #22 |
| #23 | +0.25 | EPA / Rush | -0.46 | #2 |
| #60 | 47.1% | Available Yards % | 20.9% | #6 |
| T-#67 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #45 |
| #55 | +0.11 | Early Downs EPA | -0.07 | #35 |
| T-#50 | 43.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 10.7% | #2 |
| #34 | 6.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.0 | #26 |
| FSU Defense | vs | ALA Offense | ||
| #101 | +0.38 | EPA / Pass | +0.11 | #79 |
| #65 | +0.05 | EPA / Rush | +0.25 | #21 |
| #108 | 56.5% | Available Yards % | 57.8% | #28 |
| #34 | Own 25 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #21 |
| #30 | -0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.03 | #77 |
| #129 | 57.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 53.6% | #22 |
| #28 | 8.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.0 | #65 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#68 | 2.0 | Sacks Taken | 2.5 | T-#93 |
| T-#58 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#76 |
| T-#66 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#91 |
| T-#45 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#96 |
| T-#30 | 5.0 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#75 |
| T-#53 | 46.0 | Penalty Yards | 37.0 | T-#28 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#70 | 1.5 | Sacks | 3.5 | T-#19 |
| T-#16 | 1.5 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#20 |
| T-#12 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#12 |
| T-#15 | 2.5 | Takeaways | 2.0 | T-#17 |
| T-#49 | 7.0 | Penalties Drawn | 7.5 | T-#44 |
| #59 | 57.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 65.5 | T-#41 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#83 | 5-7 | Last Year Record (2025) | 11-4 | #22 |
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-2 | T-#22 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Mike Norvell | Head Coach | Kalen DeBoer | ||
| T-#15 | 7 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| #49 | 76-50 | Career Record | 57-17 | #11 |
| Situation | ||||
| 12 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 270 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Ashton Daniels | QB | Keelon Russell | ||
| #66 | +0.31 | EPA / Att | +0.25 | #75 |
| #119 | 36.0% | Success Rate | 50.0% | #45 |
| #4 | 2.07 | Explosiveness | 1.34 | #97 |
| #101 | 7.4% | Sack Rate | 8.8% | #115 |
| #39 | +0.40 | Rush EPA | +0.65 | #18 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.9thRB | Ousmane Kromah+20.0 | Playmaker · PPA | 91.6thWR | |
| 88.6thWR | Micahi Danzy+18.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Lotzeir Brooks+19.7 | 89.8thWR |
| T-#13DL | Rylan Kennedy+10.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Red Morgan+11.7 | 98.5thDB |
| 90.0thLB | Mikai Gbayor+5.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Yhonzae Pierre+10.8 | #18LB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#23 | 1 | 5★ Players | 11 | T-#3 |
| #22 | 28 | 4★ Players | 42 | T-#10 |
| T-#92 | 50 | 3★ Players | 29 | T-#125 |
| Transfers | ||||
10 in · 19 out | OFF Transfers | 10 in · 11 out | ||
8 in · 16 out | DEF Transfers | 7 in · 10 out | ||
| 39% | OFF Returning | 27% | ||
| 49% | DEF Returning | 52% | ||