-3.5(-110)
SPREAD
+4(-110)
TOTAL · 50
O 50(-110)U 50.5(-110)
U 50.5(-110)-180
MONEYLINENEV 64%
+180
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-#134 | -0.35 | SOS Played | -0.22 | #121 |
| #90 | -0.07 | SOS Remaining | -0.12 | #111 |
| Offense | ||||
| #26 | +0.13 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.16 | #108 |
| #8 | +0.51 | EPA / Play | +0.15 | #58 |
| #3 | 8.9 | Yards / Play | 5.9 | #59 |
| #14 | 51.8% | Success Rate | 43.5% | #52 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #67 | -0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.06 | #94 |
| #46 | +0.03 | EPA / Play | +0.15 | #80 |
| #25 | 4.5 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #69 |
| #81 | 43.4% | Success Rate | 44.8% | #89 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| NEV Offense | vs | MTSU Defense | ||
| #50 | +0.23 | EPA / Pass | +0.40 | #105 |
| #1 | +0.63 | EPA / Rush | -0.01 | #52 |
| #22 | 59.9% | Available Yards % | 33.6% | #26 |
| #31 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #92 |
| #8 | +0.39 | Early Downs EPA | +0.08 | #72 |
| T-#12 | 58.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 36.4% | T-#49 |
| #54 | 6.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.4 | #96 |
| NEV Defense | vs | MTSU Offense | ||
| #54 | +0.08 | EPA / Pass | +0.20 | #57 |
| #46 | -0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.04 | #72 |
| #46 | 39.1% | Available Yards % | 43.2% | #77 |
| #21 | Own 24 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #90 |
| #42 | -0.01 | Early Downs EPA | +0.08 | #64 |
| T-#52 | 36.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 28.6% | T-#110 |
| #24 | 8.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.5 | #115 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#23 |
| T-#76 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#76 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#45 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#45 |
| T-#16 | 4.0 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#75 |
| T-#39 | 40.0 | Penalty Yards | 34.0 | #21 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#21 | 3.0 | Sacks | 0.0 | T-#121 |
| T-#86 | 0.0 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#86 |
| T-#4 | 2.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#12 |
| T-#17 | 2.0 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#53 |
| T-#73 | 6.0 | Penalties Drawn | 5.0 | T-#94 |
| T-#56 | 59.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 35.0 | T-#109 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#117 | 3-9 | Last Year Record (2025) | 3-9 | T-#117 |
| T-#43 | 3-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-2 | T-#22 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Jeff Choate | Head Coach | Derek Mason | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| #122 | 6-19 | Career Record | 33-73 | #119 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 1,836 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| AJ Bianco | QB | Roman Gagliano | ||
| #125 | -0.04 | EPA / Att | +0.27 | #71 |
| #123 | 35.0% | Success Rate | 45.2% | #78 |
| #124 | 1.08 | Explosiveness | 1.30 | #107 |
| #1 | 0.0% | Sack Rate | 1.4% | #14 |
| #24 | +0.58 | Rush EPA | +0.48 | #29 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 96.4thRB | Herschel Turner+23.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Cam'ron Lacy+21.8 | 92.1thWR |
| 94.3thRB | Dominic Kelley+19.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Markus Allen+7.9 | 68.2thWR |
| 93.6thLB | EJ Smith+7.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | James Johnson+5.2 | 85.8thDB |
| 88.6thDB | Bryson Snelling+5.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jackson Lowe+4.8 | 84.6thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#110 | 2 | 4★ Players | 4 | T-#91 |
| T-#88 | 51 | 3★ Players | 51 | T-#88 |
| Transfers | ||||
7 in · 9 out | OFF Transfers | 8 in · 9 out | ||
9 in · 10 out | DEF Transfers | 9 in · 9 out | ||
| 42% | OFF Returning | 34% | ||
| 37% | DEF Returning | 30% | ||