-5.5(-110)
SPREAD
+5.5(-110)
TOTAL · 50.5
O 50.5(-110)U 50.5(-110)
U 50.5(-110)-185
MONEYLINEAF 65%
+190
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #28 | +0.14 | SOS Played | -0.40 | #135 |
| #137 | -0.33 | SOS Remaining | -0.15 | #103 |
| Offense | ||||
| #12 | +0.26 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.08 | #49 |
| #37 | +0.24 | EPA / Play | +0.24 | #39 |
| #49 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 6.7 | #28 |
| T-#16 | 50.0% | Success Rate | 43.5% | #57 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #82 | +0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.37 | #133 |
| #81 | +0.17 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #65 |
| #133 | 8.2 | Yards / Play | 4.8 | #20 |
| #47 | 39.7% | Success Rate | 41.2% | #58 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 AF Offense | vs |  NEV Defense | ||
| #6 | +0.65 | EPA / Pass | +0.16 | #72 |
| #63 | +0.11 | EPA / Rush | +0.09 | #65 |
| #42 | 51.5% | Available Yards % | 40.0% | #44 |
| #118 | Own 25 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #59 |
| #52 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #59 |
| T-#31 | 50.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 37.8% | T-#45 |
| T-#48 | 6.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.3 | #55 |
| AF Defense | vs | NEV Offense | ||
| #92 | +0.27 | EPA / Pass | +0.17 | #74 |
| #73 | +0.10 | EPA / Rush | +0.28 | #15 |
| #102 | 54.2% | Available Yards % | 51.2% | #43 |
| #128 | Own 37 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | T-#38 |
| #72 | +0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #70 |
| #98 | 46.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 48.1% | #40 |
| T-#102 | 6.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.0 | #111 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#22 | 1.0 | Sacks Taken | 0.5 | T-#7 |
| T-#88 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#88 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#100 |
| T-#42 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#103 |
| T-#46 | 6.0 | Penalties | 5.0 | T-#27 |
| T-#69 | 55.0 | Penalty Yards | 47.0 | #42 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#134 | 0.0 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#43 |
| T-#25 | 1.0 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#104 |
| T-#99 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#13 |
| T-#58 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#58 |
| T-#105 | 5.0 | Penalties Drawn | 8.0 | T-#30 |
| T-#97 | 45.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 71.5 | #30 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#98 | 4-8 | Last Year Record (2025) | 3-9 | T-#117 |
| T-#43 | 3-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-2 | T-#43 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Troy Calhoun | Head Coach | Jeff Choate | ||
| #2 | 20 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| #53 | 139-97 | Career Record | 6-19 | #122 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 801 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Liam Szarka | QB | Carter Jones | ||
| #114 | +0.07 | EPA / Att | +0.22 | #89 |
| #109 | 40.0% | Success Rate | 36.6% | #122 |
| #41 | 1.66 | Explosiveness | 1.95 | #8 |
| #92 | 6.3% | Sack Rate | 2.4% | #24 |
| #27 | +0.47 | Rush EPA | +0.27 | #60 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 88.3thWR | Matt Long+18.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Herschel Turner+23.5 | 96.4thRB |
| 77.8thRB | Rocco Conti+8.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Dominic Kelley+19.2 | 94.3thRB |
| #12LB | Blake Fletcher+12.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | EJ Smith+7.1 | 93.6thLB |
| 95.6thDB | Max Mustell+8.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bryson Snelling+5.8 | 88.6thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#129 | 0 | 4★ Players | 2 | T-#110 |
| #138 | 5 | 3★ Players | 51 | T-#88 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 7 in · 9 out | ||
0 in · 1 out | DEF Transfers | 9 in · 10 out | ||
| 57% | OFF Returning | 42% | ||
| 67% | DEF Returning | 37% | ||