Alcorn State logo
SWAC0-10-1 ATS3
FINAL
ESPN+
M. M. Roberts StadiumHattiesburg, MS
Southern Miss logo
Sun Belt1-42-3 ATS49
ODDS · CLOSING LINE
+19.5(-110)draftkings
SPREAD
-19.5(-110)draftkings
TOTAL · 51
O 51(-110)bovadaU 51.5(-110)draftkings
+900draftkings
MONEYLINEUSM 93%
-1400bovada
Schedule
—SOS Played-0.12#128
—SOS Remaining—
OffenseUSM 2025 final
—Adj. EPA / Play-0.07#94
—EPA / Play+0.12#60
—Yards / Play6.2#38
—Success Rate39.5%#99
Defense · allowed
—Adj. EPA / Play+0.01#90
—EPA / Play+0.08#59
—Yards / Play6.0#75
—Success Rate42.3%#68
Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods
Alcorn State logoALCN OffensevsSouthern Miss logoUSM Defense
—EPA / Pass+0.02#35
—EPA / Rush+0.14#94
—Available Yards %44.8%#55
—Starting Field Pos.Own 29#51
—Early Downs EPA-0.05#20
—3rd/4th Down Success48.8%#126
—Avg 3rd Down Distance7.2#53
Alcorn State logoALCN DefensevsSouthern Miss logoUSM Offense
—EPA / Pass+0.15#55
—EPA / Rush+0.09#73
—Available Yards %45.0%#72
—Starting Field Pos.Own 29#77
—Early Downs EPA+0.05#65
—3rd/4th Down Success41.1%#74
—Avg 3rd Down Distance6.8T-#54
Negative Plays · committedper game
—Sacks Taken1.7T-#44
—INTs Thrown0.9T-#91
—Fumbles Lost0.3T-#21
—Turnovers1.3T-#63
—Penalties7.8T-#127
—Penalty Yards61.6T-#107
Negative Plays · forcedper game
—Sacks2.3T-#42
—INTs1.8T-#2
—Fumbles Recovered0.5T-#62
—Takeaways2.3#4
—Penalties Drawn8.1T-#4
—Penalty Yds Drawn69.1#8
Record
0-1Last Year Record (2025)7-6T-#60
0-1Current Year ATS (2026)2-3T-#87
Coaching
—Head CoachBlake Anderson
—Seasons at School2T-#78
—Career Record74-55#63
Situation
—Rest—
113 miTravelHome
—QBBraylon Braxton
—EPA / Att+0.24#65
—Success Rate41.3%#103
—Explosiveness1.69#11
—Sack Rate4.7%#63
—Rush EPA+0.13#101
—Last 8 · EPA / Att
Game Breakers
—Playmaker · PPA97.7thWR
—Playmaker · PPA90.6thRB
—Defender · Havoc EPAT-#16DB
—Defender · Havoc EPA88.6thDB
Recruiting
—5★ Players0T-#37
—4★ Players9T-#60
—3★ Players48T-#99
Transfers
—OFF Transfers
13 in · 8 out
—DEF Transfers
20 in · 18 out
—OFF Returning91%
—DEF Returning43%