-3.5(-110)
SPREAD
+3.5(-110)
TOTAL · 48
O 48(-110)
U 48.5(-110)
U 48.5(-110)-160
MONEYLINETCU 62%
+142
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #134 | -0.39 | SOS Played | +0.09 | #36 |
| #29 | +0.12 | SOS Remaining | -0.05 | #79 |
| Offense | ||||
| #133 | -0.35 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.17 | #102 |
| #78 | +0.09 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #102 |
| #65 | 5.9 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #83 |
| #87 | 40.1% | Success Rate | 35.8% | #112 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #27 | -0.17 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.22 | #18 |
| #12 | -0.10 | EPA / Play | +0.06 | #45 |
| #37 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #65 |
| #43 | 38.7% | Success Rate | 38.6% | #40 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 TCU Offense | vs |  UCF Defense | ||
| #38 | +0.32 | EPA / Pass | +0.12 | #64 |
| #122 | -0.11 | EPA / Rush | -0.02 | #39 |
| #59 | 48.0% | Available Yards % | 43.7% | #61 |
| T-#47 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #67 |
| #86 | +0.03 | Early Downs EPA | -0.04 | #35 |
| #55 | 44.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.5% | #77 |
| #28 | 6.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.2 | #109 |
| TCU Defense | vs | UCF Offense | ||
| #8 | -0.18 | EPA / Pass | -0.14 | #118 |
| #38 | -0.02 | EPA / Rush | +0.16 | #46 |
| #40 | 39.8% | Available Yards % | 35.9% | #110 |
| #36 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #16 |
| #23 | -0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.02 | #92 |
| #23 | 31.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 28.6% | #122 |
| #99 | 6.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.8 | #102 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#77 | 2.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.5 | T-#55 |
| T-#42 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#42 |
| T-#62 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#42 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 0.5 | T-#17 |
| T-#70 | 7.0 | Penalties | 8.0 | T-#102 |
| T-#88 | 62.5 | Penalty Yards | 49.0 | T-#47 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#27 | 2.5 | Sacks | 1.5 | T-#66 |
| T-#104 | 0.0 | INTs | 1.5 | T-#12 |
| T-#13 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#99 |
| T-#58 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 1.5 | T-#35 |
| T-#136 | 2.5 | Penalties Drawn | 7.5 | T-#43 |
| T-#137 | 15.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 62.0 | T-#56 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#26 | 9-4 | Last Year Record (2025) | 5-7 | T-#83 |
| T-#87 | 2-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-2 | T-#22 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Sonny Dykes | Head Coach | Scott Frost | ||
| T-#30 | 5 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#78 |
| #61 | 107-79 | Career Record | 40-45 | #94 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 1,001 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jaden Craig | QB | Keyone Jenkins | ||
| #28 | +0.52 | EPA / Att | -0.07 | #125 |
| #27 | 53.3% | Success Rate | 33.3% | #125 |
| #34 | 1.71 | Explosiveness | 1.43 | #88 |
| #76 | 5.2% | Sack Rate | 4.5% | #65 |
| #116 | -0.19 | Rush EPA | +0.37 | #40 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #2TE | Kari Ashley+33.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Josh Derry+22.3 | 92.8thWR |
| 93.1thWR | Ed Small+23.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Caden Piening+13.1 | 93.1thTE |
| 92.0thDB | Defender · Havoc EPA | Demari Henderson+12.6 | 98.6thDB | |
| 93.6thDL | Ansel Din-Mbuh+5.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Tackett Curtis+8.2 | 95.5thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#36 | 18 | 4★ Players | 11 | T-#48 |
| T-#33 | 64 | 3★ Players | 45 | T-#104 |
| Transfers | ||||
6 in · 7 out | OFF Transfers | 13 in · 14 out | ||
6 in · 7 out | DEF Transfers | 16 in · 20 out | ||
| 24% | OFF Returning | 26% | ||
| 49% | DEF Returning | 52% | ||