+3.5(-110)
SPREAD
-3.5(-110)
TOTAL · 58.5
O 58.5(-110)U 58.5(-110)
U 58.5(-110)+190
MONEYLINEMSST 64%
-175
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #37 | +0.09 | SOS Played | -0.07 | #86 |
| #9 | +0.21 | SOS Remaining | +0.25 | #5 |
| Offense | ||||
| #50 | +0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.30 | #7 |
| #49 | +0.22 | EPA / Play | +0.51 | #2 |
| #61 | 5.9 | Yards / Play | 8.2 | #3 |
| #122 | 33.9% | Success Rate | 55.2% | #4 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #6 | -0.32 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.12 | #40 |
| #15 | -0.10 | EPA / Play | +0.01 | #32 |
| #17 | 4.7 | Yards / Play | 4.4 | #13 |
| #13 | 32.6% | Success Rate | 35.7% | T-#25 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| MIZ Offense | vs | MSST Defense | ||
| #16 | +0.52 | EPA / Pass | +0.02 | #38 |
| #99 | -0.00 | EPA / Rush | -0.01 | #42 |
| #82 | 42.5% | Available Yards % | 36.9% | #31 |
| #1 | Own 40 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #27 |
| #45 | +0.15 | Early Downs EPA | -0.11 | #18 |
| T-#97 | 34.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 35.7% | #37 |
| #86 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #54 |
| MIZ Defense | vs | MSST Offense | ||
| #13 | -0.12 | EPA / Pass | +0.58 | #10 |
| #23 | -0.08 | EPA / Rush | +0.45 | #4 |
| #10 | 29.0% | Available Yards % | 64.2% | #7 |
| #9 | Own 23 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #66 |
| #6 | -0.22 | Early Downs EPA | +0.41 | #5 |
| #40 | 36.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 54.3% | #18 |
| #21 | 8.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.1 | #74 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.3 | T-#49 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#32 |
| T-#62 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 0.3 | T-#43 |
| T-#17 | 0.5 | Turnovers | 0.7 | T-#37 |
| T-#130 | 9.5 | Penalties | 9.3 | T-#125 |
| #130 | 83.0 | Penalty Yards | 78.7 | #124 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#11 | 3.5 | Sacks | 2.3 | T-#35 |
| T-#12 | 1.5 | INTs | 0.7 | T-#60 |
| T-#13 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#99 |
| T-#7 | 2.5 | Takeaways | 0.7 | T-#101 |
| T-#19 | 8.5 | Penalties Drawn | 8.7 | #18 |
| #24 | 74.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 89.3 | #7 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 8-5 | Last Year Record (2025) | 5-8 | T-#95 |
| T-#53 | 3-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-1 | T-#13 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Eli Drinkwitz | Head Coach | Jeff Lebby | ||
| T-#15 | 7 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| #29 | 58-30 | Career Record | 7-18 | #121 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 427 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Austin Simmons | QB | Kamario Taylor | ||
| #17 | +0.61 | EPA / Att | +0.65 | #14 |
| #31 | 52.2% | Success Rate | 53.7% | #24 |
| #45 | 1.64 | Explosiveness | 1.72 | #30 |
| #11 | 1.5% | Sack Rate | 4.7% | #68 |
| #121 | -0.41 | Rush EPA | +0.64 | #13 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #11WR | Cayden Lee+39.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Anthony Evans III+40.8 | #9WR |
| #12RB | Jamal Roberts+30.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Fluff Bothwell+33.0 | #10RB |
| #16DL | Daeden Hopkins+10.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Kelley Jones+6.4 | 91.4thDB |
| 96.2thDB | Trajen Greco+9.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jett Jefferson+6.4 | 91.4thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| #18 | 32 | 4★ Players | 29 | T-#20 |
| T-#86 | 52 | 3★ Players | 51 | T-#88 |
| Transfers | ||||
13 in · 15 out | OFF Transfers | 13 in · 23 out | ||
15 in · 9 out | DEF Transfers | 14 in · 15 out | ||
| 43% | OFF Returning | 34% | ||
| 29% | DEF Returning | 46% | ||