-21(-110)
SPREAD
+21(-110)
TOTAL · 46.5
O 46.5(-110)U 46.5(-110)
U 46.5(-110)-1800
MONEYLINEND 95%
+1000
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #42 | +0.06 | SOS Played | -0.01 | #66 |
| #67 | +0.02 | SOS Remaining | +0.11 | #35 |
| Offense | ||||
| #17 | +0.19 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.01 | #57 |
| #9 | +0.35 | EPA / Play | -0.01 | #110 |
| #21 | 6.8 | Yards / Play | 5.4 | #96 |
| #7 | 52.2% | Success Rate | 43.7% | #51 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #2 | -0.38 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.15 | #110 |
| #4 | -0.14 | EPA / Play | +0.11 | #66 |
| #2 | 4.2 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #44 |
| #13 | 33.5% | Success Rate | 38.1% | #33 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| ND Offense | vs | UNC Defense | ||
| #5 | +0.56 | EPA / Pass | +0.05 | #43 |
| #43 | +0.18 | EPA / Rush | +0.18 | #99 |
| #17 | 58.6% | Available Yards % | 40.8% | #44 |
| #65 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #103 |
| #3 | +0.37 | Early Downs EPA | +0.14 | #92 |
| #43 | 46.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.0% | T-#60 |
| #4 | 5.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.2 | #118 |
| ND Defense | vs | UNC Offense | ||
| #24 | -0.04 | EPA / Pass | -0.10 | #117 |
| #2 | -0.25 | EPA / Rush | +0.09 | #72 |
| #3 | 25.8% | Available Yards % | 43.6% | #83 |
| #50 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #59 |
| #1 | -0.24 | Early Downs EPA | -0.08 | #117 |
| T-#60 | 40.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 35.7% | #99 |
| #89 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #58 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#4 | 0.5 | Sacks Taken | 3.0 | T-#116 |
| T-#17 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#54 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.5 | T-#131 |
| T-#5 | 0.3 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#109 |
| #1 | 2.5 | Penalties | 4.0 | T-#5 |
| #1 | 26.5 | Penalty Yards | 27.5 | #3 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#19 | 3.3 | Sacks | 3.0 | T-#21 |
| T-#50 | 0.8 | INTs | 0.5 | T-#81 |
| T-#2 | 1.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#8 |
| T-#9 | 2.3 | Takeaways | 1.5 | T-#36 |
| T-#124 | 4.5 | Penalties Drawn | 7.5 | T-#43 |
| T-#122 | 39.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 57.5 | T-#70 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#22 | 4-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-2 | T-#43 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Marcus Freeman | Head Coach | Bill Belichick | ||
| T-#21 | 6 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#78 |
| T-#7 | 43-12 | Career Record | 4-8 | T-#111 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 14 days | ||
| 556 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| C.J. Carr | QB | Billy Edwards | ||
| #10 | +0.60 | EPA / Att | +0.19 | #97 |
| #12 | 56.8% | Success Rate | 47.4% | #56 |
| #89 | 1.45 | Explosiveness | 1.23 | #130 |
| #19 | 2.1% | Sack Rate | 7.1% | #108 |
| #8 | +0.72 | Rush EPA | +0.26 | #66 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 96.9thWR | Jordan Faison+31.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Jordan Shipp+21.5 | 91.9thWR |
| 95.8thWR | Micah Gilbert+29.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Shamar Easter+10.1 | 90.3thTE |
| #24DB | Luke Talich+13.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Greg Smith+15.1 | T-#9DB |
| #10DL | Boubacar Traore+11.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Xavier Lewis+12.9 | #6DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| #5 | 9 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| #3 | 59 | 4★ Players | 25 | T-#26 |
| T-#125 | 29 | 3★ Players | 62 | T-#46 |
| Transfers | ||||
2 in · 5 out | OFF Transfers | 12 in · 18 out | ||
5 in · 12 out | DEF Transfers | 6 in · 14 out | ||
| 52% | OFF Returning | 31% | ||
| 78% | DEF Returning | 39% | ||