+3.5(-110)
SPREAD
-3.5(-110)
TOTAL · 48.5
O 48.5(-110)U 48.5(-110)
U 48.5(-110)+155
MONEYLINEASU 64%
-175
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #103 | -0.10 | SOS Played | -0.19 | #127 |
| #38 | +0.11 | SOS Remaining | +0.09 | #46 |
| Offense | ||||
| #58 | +0.00 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.48 | #138 |
| #97 | +0.04 | EPA / Play | -0.19 | #135 |
| #105 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #75 |
| #105 | 37.5% | Success Rate | 33.6% | #125 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #71 | -0.02 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.05 | #60 |
| #17 | -0.07 | EPA / Play | +0.05 | #45 |
| #9 | 4.4 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #69 |
| #26 | 36.8% | Success Rate | 37.9% | #32 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 BAY Offense | vs |  ASU Defense | ||
| #64 | +0.15 | EPA / Pass | +0.12 | #64 |
| #117 | -0.07 | EPA / Rush | -0.01 | #31 |
| #77 | 44.9% | Available Yards % | 37.3% | #31 |
| #24 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 33 | #110 |
| #91 | +0.00 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #63 |
| #83 | 37.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 30.3% | #14 |
| #91 | 7.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.6 | #43 |
| BAY Defense | vs | ASU Offense | ||
| #39 | +0.02 | EPA / Pass | -0.24 | #133 |
| #8 | -0.18 | EPA / Rush | -0.15 | #131 |
| #42 | 40.2% | Available Yards % | 30.1% | #128 |
| #40 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 33 | #26 |
| #23 | -0.09 | Early Downs EPA | -0.24 | #137 |
| T-#46 | 37.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 25.0% | T-#132 |
| #32 | 7.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #52 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#54 | 1.7 | Sacks Taken | 1.5 | T-#50 |
| T-#63 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#89 |
| T-#107 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#107 |
| T-#93 | 1.7 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#109 |
| T-#113 | 8.3 | Penalties | 8.0 | T-#104 |
| T-#113 | 71.3 | Penalty Yards | 63.5 | #92 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#10 | 3.7 | Sacks | 1.5 | T-#82 |
| T-#12 | 1.3 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#27 |
| T-#35 | 0.7 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#8 |
| T-#12 | 2.0 | Takeaways | 2.0 | T-#12 |
| T-#31 | 8.0 | Penalties Drawn | 2.5 | #138 |
| T-#29 | 70.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 22.5 | #137 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#13 | 4-1 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-3 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Aranda | Head Coach | Kenny Dillingham | ||
| T-#15 | 7 | Seasons at School | 4 | T-#44 |
| T-#86 | 36-37 | Career Record | 22-17 | #67 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 14 days | ||
| 872 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| D.J. Lagway | QB | Cutter Boley | ||
| #110 | +0.12 | EPA / Att | +0.38 | #55 |
| #130 | 34.4% | Success Rate | 47.0% | #62 |
| #14 | 1.86 | Explosiveness | 1.79 | #23 |
| #21 | 2.1% | Sack Rate | 3.5% | #48 |
| #134 | -1.14 | Rush EPA | +0.35 | #48 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #17WR | Gavin Freeman+35.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Reed Harris+43.9 | #7WR |
| 89.3thWR | Louis Brown IV+19.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Cardae Mack+19.1 | 94.0thRB |
| 98.2thDB | Devon Jordan+11.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Martell Hughes+6.7 | 92.1thLB |
| 96.2thDL | Ryan Davis+7.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Montana Warren+6.2 | 90.0thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#23 | 1 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#38 | 17 | 4★ Players | 15 | T-#43 |
| T-#22 | 67 | 3★ Players | 69 | T-#15 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 8 out | OFF Transfers | 11 in · 12 out | ||
18 in · 17 out | DEF Transfers | 10 in · 11 out | ||
| 61% | OFF Returning | 14% | ||
| 62% | DEF Returning | 28% | ||