-1(-110)
SPREAD
+1.5(-110)
TOTAL · 48.5
O 48.5(-110)U 49.5(-110)
U 49.5(-110)-105
MONEYLINEFSU 51%
-105
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #34 | +0.13 | SOS Played | +0.26 | #1 |
| #57 | +0.09 | SOS Remaining | +0.20 | #32 |
| Offense | ||||
| #21 | +0.14 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.02 | #71 |
| #28 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | -0.01 | #118 |
| #20 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #84 |
| #29 | 46.0% | Success Rate | 40.6% | #89 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #41 | -0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.09 | #50 |
| #63 | +0.09 | EPA / Play | +0.17 | #101 |
| #21 | 5.2 | Yards / Play | 6.1 | #87 |
| #48 | 40.5% | Success Rate | 45.0% | #106 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 FSU Offense | vs |  FLA Defense | ||
| #57 | +0.15 | EPA / Pass | +0.20 | #95 |
| #11 | +0.24 | EPA / Rush | +0.15 | #97 |
| #12 | 58.2% | Available Yards % | 50.4% | #99 |
| #59 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #122 |
| #49 | +0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.02 | #49 |
| #10 | 49.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 50.3% | #129 |
| #76 | 7.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #103 |
| FSU Defense | vs | FLA Offense | ||
| #71 | +0.14 | EPA / Pass | -0.07 | #126 |
| #45 | +0.05 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #81 |
| #31 | 40.7% | Available Yards % | 36.6% | #119 |
| #69 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #132 |
| #46 | +0.01 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #65 |
| #81 | 42.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 31.7% | #133 |
| #101 | 6.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.9 | #65 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#70 | 1.9 | Sacks Taken | 1.7 | T-#51 |
| T-#71 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 1.3 | T-#128 |
| T-#120 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#34 |
| T-#106 | 1.6 | Turnovers | 1.7 | T-#115 |
| T-#56 | 5.8 | Penalties | 5.6 | T-#48 |
| #44 | 48.1 | Penalty Yards | 47.9 | T-#42 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#23 | 2.6 | Sacks | 2.1 | T-#51 |
| T-#44 | 0.9 | INTs | 0.9 | T-#44 |
| T-#118 | 0.2 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.4 | T-#79 |
| T-#86 | 1.1 | Takeaways | 1.3 | T-#57 |
| T-#54 | 6.4 | Penalties Drawn | 5.8 | T-#79 |
| T-#68 | 54.2 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 46.5 | T-#100 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#87 | 5-7 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-7 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Mike Norvell | Head Coach | Billy Napier | ||
| T-#18 | 7 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#125 |
| #47 | 76-50 | Career Record | 62-35 | #136 |
| Situation | ||||
| 8 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Thomas Castellanos | QB | D.J. Lagway | ||
| #37 | +0.34 | EPA / Att | +0.01 | #122 |
| #94 | 42.1% | Success Rate | 38.8% | #116 |
| #2 | 1.87 | Explosiveness | 1.47 | #76 |
| #78 | 5.1% | Sack Rate | 4.6% | #65 |
| #67 | +0.26 | Rush EPA | +0.13 | #98 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.1thWR | Duce Robinson+56.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Vernell Brown III+28.5 | 83.3thWR |
| 93.1thWR | Micahi Danzy+43.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Jadan Baugh+28.3 | 93.3thRB |
| 97.2thDB | Earl Little Jr.+20.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Devin Moore+12.6 | 88.9thDB |
| 96.2thDB | Edwin Joseph+19.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bryce Thornton+12.2 | 88.1thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#20 | 2 | 5★ Players | 4 | T-#9 |
| #17 | 37 | 4★ Players | 45 | T-#9 |
| T-#104 | 33 | 3★ Players | 27 | T-#117 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||