-9.5(-110)
SPREAD
+9.5(-110)
TOTAL · 57.5
O 57.5(-110)U 57.5(-110)
U 57.5(-110)-180
MONEYLINETXST 64%
+295
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #23 | +0.12 | SOS Played | +0.19 | #11 |
| #57 | +0.05 | SOS Remaining | +0.08 | #48 |
| Offense | ||||
| #24 | +0.14 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.24 | #128 |
| #34 | +0.23 | EPA / Play | -0.16 | #133 |
| #11 | 7.1 | Yards / Play | 4.8 | #119 |
| #21 | 48.6% | Success Rate | 31.3% | #131 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #93 | +0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.08 | #51 |
| #120 | +0.30 | EPA / Play | +0.18 | #87 |
| #102 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 6.3 | #87 |
| #124 | 49.3% | Success Rate | 46.1% | #100 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| TXST Offense | vs | SDSU Defense | ||
| #24 | +0.37 | EPA / Pass | +0.38 | #112 |
| #51 | +0.15 | EPA / Rush | +0.07 | #51 |
| #16 | 58.9% | Available Yards % | 49.9% | #89 |
| #55 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #125 |
| #28 | +0.21 | Early Downs EPA | +0.23 | #116 |
| #7 | 55.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 37.8% | T-#51 |
| #3 | 5.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #96 |
| TXST Defense | vs | SDSU Offense | ||
| #124 | +0.44 | EPA / Pass | -0.20 | #130 |
| #73 | +0.12 | EPA / Rush | -0.12 | #126 |
| #135 | 67.1% | Available Yards % | 32.7% | #123 |
| #85 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #125 |
| #95 | +0.14 | Early Downs EPA | -0.21 | #134 |
| #131 | 56.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 29.4% | #125 |
| #68 | 7.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.9 | #110 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#7 | 0.7 | Sacks Taken | 2.3 | T-#88 |
| T-#89 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 1.3 | T-#115 |
| T-#107 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.3 | T-#41 |
| T-#109 | 2.0 | Turnovers | 1.7 | T-#93 |
| T-#56 | 6.3 | Penalties | 5.0 | T-#24 |
| T-#101 | 66.7 | Penalty Yards | 42.3 | T-#22 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#135 | 0.3 | Sacks | 1.7 | T-#73 |
| T-#56 | 0.7 | INTs | 0.3 | T-#90 |
| T-#69 | 0.3 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.3 | T-#69 |
| T-#68 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 0.7 | T-#103 |
| T-#31 | 8.0 | Penalties Drawn | 8.3 | T-#23 |
| #9 | 80.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 72.0 | #27 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#53 | 3-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 1-5 | T-#134 |
| Coaching | ||||
| G.J. Kinne | Head Coach | Sean Lewis | ||
| T-#44 | 4 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| #52 | 23-16 | Career Record | 36-44 | #96 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 1,149 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Brad Jackson | QB | Jayden Denegal | ||
| #18 | +0.57 | EPA / Att | -0.03 | #131 |
| #19 | 54.7% | Success Rate | 35.7% | #126 |
| #17 | 1.83 | Explosiveness | 1.57 | #56 |
| #2 | 1.0% | Sack Rate | 6.7% | #102 |
| #99 | +0.05 | Rush EPA | -0.05 | #114 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 92.2thWR | Chris Dawn Jr.+21.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Javion Kinnard+10.8 | 83.6thRB |
| 89.9thWR | Beau Sparks+19.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Jackson Ford+3.6 | 69.0thTE |
| 94.9thDB | Trez Moore+7.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Mike Lindsay+10.5 | 97.2thDB |
| 90.5thDB | Ryan Nolan+6.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Djibril Rahman+6.8 | 95.7thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#96 | 3 | 4★ Players | 2 | T-#110 |
| T-#15 | 69 | 3★ Players | 64 | T-#33 |
| Transfers | ||||
6 in · 6 out | OFF Transfers | 11 in · 4 out | ||
11 in · 11 out | DEF Transfers | 14 in · 8 out | ||
| 77% | OFF Returning | 99% | ||
| 42% | DEF Returning | 31% | ||