-2.5(-110)
SPREAD
+2.5(-105)
TOTAL · 47.5
O 47.5(-110)U 47.5(-110)
U 47.5(-110)-130
MONEYLINENDSU 57%
+135
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #133 | -0.18 | SOS Played | -0.14 | #124 |
| #122 | -0.19 | SOS Remaining | -0.09 | #92 |
| Offense | ||||
| #80 | -0.03 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.14 | #112 |
| #59 | +0.17 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #76 |
| T-#43 | 6.4 | Yards / Play | 6.1 | #58 |
| T-#70 | 41.7% | Success Rate | 37.0% | #115 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #20 | -0.16 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.07 | #51 |
| #3 | -0.13 | EPA / Play | +0.05 | #42 |
| #19 | 5.0 | Yards / Play | 5.8 | #69 |
| #45 | 38.9% | Success Rate | 38.7% | #40 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| NDSU Offense | vs | UNLV Defense | ||
| #33 | +0.30 | EPA / Pass | +0.01 | #33 |
| #77 | +0.08 | EPA / Rush | +0.11 | #71 |
| #51 | 49.2% | Available Yards % | 42.4% | #47 |
| #88 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #29 |
| #45 | +0.13 | Early Downs EPA | +0.04 | #59 |
| #52 | 44.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 36.9% | #45 |
| #37 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.5 | #41 |
| NDSU Defense | vs | UNLV Offense | ||
| #17 | -0.10 | EPA / Pass | +0.09 | #79 |
| #5 | -0.15 | EPA / Rush | +0.14 | #59 |
| #11 | 32.8% | Available Yards % | 45.8% | #72 |
| #56 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #53 |
| #5 | -0.16 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #68 |
| T-#35 | 35.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 39.5% | T-#83 |
| #40 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.4 | #84 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#15 | 1.0 | Sacks Taken | 2.8 | T-#112 |
| T-#46 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.4 | T-#44 |
| T-#22 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.8 | T-#112 |
| T-#31 | 0.8 | Turnovers | 1.2 | T-#67 |
| T-#69 | 6.8 | Penalties | 6.8 | #77 |
| T-#62 | 54.8 | Penalty Yards | 67.0 | T-#104 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#73 | 1.8 | Sacks | 2.8 | T-#23 |
| T-#15 | 1.3 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#28 |
| T-#55 | 0.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#120 |
| T-#23 | 1.8 | Takeaways | 1.2 | T-#66 |
| T-#87 | 6.0 | Penalties Drawn | 8.2 | T-#24 |
| T-#54 | 61.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 74.8 | #20 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#53 | 3-3 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-2 | T-#22 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Tim Polasek | Head Coach | Dan Mullen | ||
| T-#109 | 1 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#78 |
| 0-0 | Career Record | 113-65 | #36 | |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 1,204 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Nathan Hayes | QB | Jackson Arnold | ||
| #40 | +0.41 | EPA / Att | +0.29 | #70 |
| #42 | 49.1% | Success Rate | 42.5% | #92 |
| #25 | 1.68 | Explosiveness | 1.61 | #39 |
| #68 | 4.9% | Sack Rate | 8.7% | #115 |
| #20 | +0.54 | Rush EPA | +0.42 | #35 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.6thWR | Jackson Williams+26.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Kayden McGee+16.1 | 85.2thWR |
| 94.6thTE | Reis Kessel+14.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Taeshaun Lyons+7.5 | 66.4thWR |
| #22LB | Donovan Woolen+10.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Mumu Bin-Wahad+16.2 | #7DB |
| 96.2thDB | Marion Moore+9.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Andre Porter+12.5 | #7DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 2 | T-#18 |
| T-#129 | 0 | 4★ Players | 8 | T-#65 |
| T-#110 | 43 | 3★ Players | 63 | T-#40 |
| Transfers | ||||
3 in · 2 out | OFF Transfers | 9 in · 4 out | ||
3 in · 4 out | DEF Transfers | 7 in · 7 out | ||
| 34% | OFF Returning | 15% | ||
| 63% | DEF Returning | 35% | ||