-6(-112)
SPREAD
+6.5(-110)
TOTAL · 61.5
O 61.5(-115)U 62(-110)
U 62(-110)-230
MONEYLINEARST 70%
+225
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #53 | +0.03 | SOS Played | -0.07 | #101 |
| #102 | -0.13 | SOS Remaining | -0.08 | #85 |
| Offense | ||||
| #57 | +0.02 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.13 | #108 |
| #62 | +0.15 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #110 |
| #27 | 6.6 | Yards / Play | 6.1 | #54 |
| #17 | 49.0% | Success Rate | 39.6% | #94 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #115 | +0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.25 | #134 |
| #124 | +0.30 | EPA / Play | +0.33 | #130 |
| #123 | 7.0 | Yards / Play | 7.0 | #122 |
| #126 | 49.7% | Success Rate | 49.5% | #124 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 ARST Offense | vs |  USM Defense | ||
| #61 | +0.15 | EPA / Pass | +0.29 | #105 |
| #57 | +0.14 | EPA / Rush | +0.36 | #135 |
| #42 | 52.0% | Available Yards % | 60.1% | #134 |
| #58 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #55 |
| #55 | +0.08 | Early Downs EPA | +0.24 | #125 |
| #36 | 46.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 50.7% | #125 |
| #40 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.6 | #99 |
| ARST Defense | vs | USM Offense | ||
| #134 | +0.46 | EPA / Pass | -0.01 | #105 |
| #112 | +0.22 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #88 |
| #113 | 55.2% | Available Yards % | 40.7% | #96 |
| #71 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 24 | #135 |
| #120 | +0.22 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #69 |
| #128 | 52.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 28.3% | #130 |
| #138 | 4.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.5 | #98 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#51 | 1.6 | Sacks Taken | 2.8 | T-#111 |
| T-#113 | 1.2 | INTs Thrown | 1.5 | T-#133 |
| T-#15 | 0.2 | Fumbles Lost | 0.3 | T-#35 |
| T-#83 | 1.4 | Turnovers | 1.8 | T-#105 |
| T-#19 | 4.8 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#78 |
| #17 | 41.4 | Penalty Yards | 67.3 | T-#106 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| #136 | 0.4 | Sacks | 2.3 | T-#44 |
| T-#66 | 0.6 | INTs | 0.3 | T-#111 |
| T-#69 | 0.4 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.3 | T-#100 |
| T-#70 | 1.0 | Takeaways | 0.5 | T-#126 |
| T-#108 | 5.4 | Penalties Drawn | 7.8 | T-#29 |
| T-#83 | 52.6 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 73.5 | #20 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-3 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Butch Jones | Head Coach | Blake Anderson | ||
| T-#21 | 6 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#78 |
| #70 | 110-91 | Career Record | 74-55 | #63 |
| Situation | ||||
| 9 days | Rest | 11 days | ||
| 322 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Trey Owens | QB | Landy Lyddy | ||
| #72 | +0.27 | EPA / Att | +0.16 | #105 |
| #19 | 53.4% | Success Rate | 46.5% | #66 |
| #100 | 1.42 | Explosiveness | 1.65 | #27 |
| #62 | 4.9% | Sack Rate | 7.5% | #105 |
| #45 | +0.33 | Rush EPA | +0.18 | #74 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #19WR | Hunter Summers+34.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Mario Sanders+32.3 | 97.7thWR |
| 87.7thWR | Jaylen Bonelli+18.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Steven Robinson+14.8 | 90.6thRB |
| 96.5thLB | Robert Stevens+8.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Kobi Albert+14.1 | T-#16DB |
| 92.0thDB | Defender · Havoc EPA | Landon Sylvie+5.8 | 88.6thDB | |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#96 | 3 | 4★ Players | 9 | T-#60 |
| T-#27 | 66 | 3★ Players | 48 | T-#99 |
| Transfers | ||||
10 in · 17 out | OFF Transfers | 13 in · 8 out | ||
15 in · 19 out | DEF Transfers | 20 in · 18 out | ||
| 30% | OFF Returning | 91% | ||
| 20% | DEF Returning | 43% | ||