Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #72 | -0.01 | SOS Played | +0.27 | #1 |
| #70 | -0.03 | SOS Remaining | +0.02 | #62 |
| Offense | ||||
| #89 | -0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.15 | #22 |
| #84 | +0.10 | EPA / Play | +0.03 | #102 |
| #114 | 5.2 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #83 |
| #77 | 41.3% | Success Rate | 41.2% | #79 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #117 | +0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.05 | #54 |
| #123 | +0.29 | EPA / Play | +0.09 | #59 |
| #115 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 5.5 | #48 |
| #106 | 45.6% | Success Rate | 43.7% | #92 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 NCSU Offense | vs |  UNC Defense | ||
| #52 | +0.20 | EPA / Pass | +0.04 | #41 |
| #111 | -0.02 | EPA / Rush | +0.14 | #86 |
| #79 | 44.0% | Available Yards % | 48.8% | #88 |
| #91 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 33 | #123 |
| #114 | -0.04 | Early Downs EPA | +0.12 | #92 |
| #30 | 48.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 39.4% | #59 |
| #41 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.3 | #119 |
| NCSU Defense | vs | UNC Offense | ||
| #124 | +0.40 | EPA / Pass | +0.04 | #94 |
| #101 | +0.19 | EPA / Rush | +0.02 | #102 |
| #97 | 51.1% | Available Yards % | 38.5% | #108 |
| #58 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #74 |
| #122 | +0.22 | Early Downs EPA | -0.02 | #106 |
| #105 | 45.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 38.0% | #89 |
| #131 | 5.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #57 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#66 | 1.8 | Sacks Taken | 2.5 | T-#104 |
| T-#81 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 1.3 | T-#124 |
| T-#109 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.8 | T-#99 |
| T-#102 | 1.6 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#123 |
| T-#35 | 5.6 | Penalties | 3.5 | #2 |
| T-#41 | 49.0 | Penalty Yards | 24.3 | #1 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#110 | 1.2 | Sacks | 2.0 | T-#60 |
| T-#94 | 0.4 | INTs | 0.8 | T-#54 |
| T-#20 | 0.8 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#57 |
| T-#57 | 1.2 | Takeaways | 1.3 | T-#51 |
| T-#88 | 6.0 | Penalties Drawn | 5.8 | T-#101 |
| T-#63 | 57.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 47.3 | #108 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-2 | T-#43 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Doeren | Head Coach | Bill Belichick | ||
| #4 | 14 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#78 |
| #43 | 118-74 | Career Record | 4-8 | T-#111 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 20 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| CJ Bailey | QB | Billy Edwards | ||
| #45 | +0.37 | EPA / Att | +0.23 | #89 |
| #26 | 51.6% | Success Rate | 48.5% | #48 |
| #61 | 1.55 | Explosiveness | 1.35 | #119 |
| #47 | 4.0% | Sack Rate | 7.0% | #98 |
| #92 | +0.10 | Rush EPA | +0.28 | #55 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.1thWR | Keenan Jackson+31.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Jordan Shipp+21.5 | 91.9thWR |
| #9TE | Preston Douglas+21.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Shamar Easter+10.1 | 90.3thTE |
| 92.8thDB | Jackson Vick+6.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Greg Smith+15.1 | T-#9DB |
| 90.2thLB | Elijah Satchell+6.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Xavier Lewis+12.9 | #6DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#29 | 22 | 4★ Players | 25 | T-#26 |
| T-#60 | 59 | 3★ Players | 62 | T-#46 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 11 out | OFF Transfers | 12 in · 18 out | ||
6 in · 14 out | DEF Transfers | 6 in · 14 out | ||
| 60% | OFF Returning | 31% | ||
| 29% | DEF Returning | 39% | ||