Lines not yet posted by tracked sportsbooks.
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #72 | -0.01 | SOS Played | +0.05 | #45 |
| #70 | -0.03 | SOS Remaining | +0.04 | #57 |
| Offense | ||||
| #89 | -0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.10 | #39 |
| #84 | +0.10 | EPA / Play | +0.20 | #41 |
| #114 | 5.2 | Yards / Play | 6.2 | #49 |
| #77 | 41.3% | Success Rate | 43.9% | #49 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #117 | +0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.11 | #106 |
| #123 | +0.29 | EPA / Play | +0.24 | #114 |
| #115 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 6.9 | #123 |
| #106 | 45.6% | Success Rate | 44.5% | #97 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 NCSU Offense | vs |  FSU Defense | ||
| #52 | +0.20 | EPA / Pass | +0.24 | #98 |
| #111 | -0.02 | EPA / Rush | +0.24 | #120 |
| #79 | 44.0% | Available Yards % | 53.7% | #108 |
| #91 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #59 |
| #114 | -0.04 | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #98 |
| #30 | 48.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 43.2% | #86 |
| #41 | 6.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.5 | #4 |
| NCSU Defense | vs | FSU Offense | ||
| #124 | +0.40 | EPA / Pass | +0.08 | #85 |
| #101 | +0.19 | EPA / Rush | +0.29 | #9 |
| #97 | 51.1% | Available Yards % | 48.8% | #55 |
| #58 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #107 |
| #122 | +0.22 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #72 |
| #105 | 45.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 47.6% | #33 |
| #131 | 5.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.5 | #37 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#66 | 1.8 | Sacks Taken | 3.0 | T-#120 |
| T-#81 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 1.2 | T-#114 |
| T-#109 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.2 | T-#15 |
| T-#102 | 1.6 | Turnovers | 1.4 | T-#84 |
| T-#35 | 5.6 | Penalties | 5.4 | T-#30 |
| T-#41 | 49.0 | Penalty Yards | 48.2 | #37 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#110 | 1.2 | Sacks | 3.0 | T-#11 |
| T-#94 | 0.4 | INTs | 0.6 | T-#68 |
| T-#20 | 0.8 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.4 | T-#70 |
| T-#57 | 1.2 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#74 |
| T-#88 | 6.0 | Penalties Drawn | 6.2 | T-#85 |
| T-#63 | 57.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 51.0 | T-#92 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-4 | T-#106 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Doeren | Head Coach | Mike Norvell | ||
| #4 | 14 | Seasons at School | 7 | T-#15 |
| #43 | 118-74 | Career Record | 76-50 | #49 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 491 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| CJ Bailey | QB | Ashton Daniels | ||
| #45 | +0.37 | EPA / Att | +0.27 | #73 |
| #26 | 51.6% | Success Rate | 43.8% | #85 |
| #61 | 1.55 | Explosiveness | 1.88 | #4 |
| #47 | 4.0% | Sack Rate | 8.4% | #115 |
| #92 | +0.10 | Rush EPA | +0.58 | #14 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.1thWR | Keenan Jackson+31.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Ousmane Kromah+20.0 | 94.9thRB |
| #9TE | Preston Douglas+21.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Micahi Danzy+18.7 | 88.6thWR |
| 92.8thDB | Jackson Vick+6.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Rylan Kennedy+10.3 | T-#13DL |
| 90.2thLB | Elijah Satchell+6.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Mikai Gbayor+5.9 | 90.0thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 1 | T-#23 |
| T-#29 | 22 | 4★ Players | 28 | #22 |
| T-#60 | 59 | 3★ Players | 50 | T-#92 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 11 out | OFF Transfers | 10 in · 19 out | ||
6 in · 14 out | DEF Transfers | 8 in · 16 out | ||
| 60% | OFF Returning | 39% | ||
| 29% | DEF Returning | 49% | ||