-3(-110)
SPREAD
+5.5(-110)
TOTAL · 56.5
O 56.5(-110)U 57.5(-110)
U 57.5(-110)-225
MONEYLINELOU 69%
+190
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #32 | +0.10 | SOS Played | -0.13 | #109 |
| #92 | -0.13 | SOS Remaining | -0.04 | #74 |
| Offense | ||||
| #33 | +0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.20 | #119 |
| #33 | +0.24 | EPA / Play | +0.05 | #92 |
| #37 | 6.6 | Yards / Play | 5.2 | #108 |
| #39 | 45.2% | Success Rate | 42.2% | #68 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #56 | -0.07 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.22 | #128 |
| #84 | +0.17 | EPA / Play | +0.30 | #116 |
| #90 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 6.5 | #94 |
| #83 | 43.8% | Success Rate | 45.2% | #94 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 LOU Offense | vs |  NCSU Defense | ||
| #31 | +0.32 | EPA / Pass | +0.39 | #114 |
| #48 | +0.16 | EPA / Rush | +0.22 | #111 |
| #84 | 43.3% | Available Yards % | 45.7% | #60 |
| #58 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #66 |
| #30 | +0.21 | Early Downs EPA | +0.27 | #123 |
| T-#69 | 40.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 41.7% | T-#73 |
| #119 | 8.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.3 | #134 |
| LOU Defense | vs | NCSU Offense | ||
| #106 | +0.34 | EPA / Pass | +0.05 | #91 |
| #43 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #85 |
| #94 | 50.8% | Available Yards % | 40.7% | #93 |
| #84 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #77 |
| #109 | +0.19 | Early Downs EPA | -0.09 | #119 |
| #33 | 35.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 48.1% | T-#33 |
| #116 | 6.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.4 | #37 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#88 | 2.3 | Sacks Taken | 1.3 | T-#39 |
| T-#24 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#89 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#107 |
| T-#8 | 0.3 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#109 |
| #134 | 9.7 | Penalties | 5.3 | T-#29 |
| #137 | 94.0 | Penalty Yards | 50.7 | T-#46 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#73 | 1.7 | Sacks | 0.7 | T-#120 |
| T-#27 | 1.0 | INTs | 0.7 | T-#56 |
| T-#8 | 1.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.3 | T-#69 |
| T-#12 | 2.0 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#68 |
| T-#31 | 8.0 | Penalties Drawn | 7.0 | T-#55 |
| #19 | 75.7 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 64.7 | T-#48 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#22 | 4-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-4 | T-#106 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Jeff Brohm | Head Coach | Dave Doeren | ||
| T-#44 | 4 | Seasons at School | 14 | #4 |
| #38 | 94-56 | Career Record | 118-74 | #43 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 422 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Lincoln Kienholz | QB | CJ Bailey | ||
| #16 | +0.58 | EPA / Att | +0.29 | #76 |
| #23 | 53.2% | Success Rate | 52.3% | #28 |
| #30 | 1.70 | Explosiveness | 1.47 | #81 |
| #73 | 5.2% | Sack Rate | 3.5% | #46 |
| #43 | +0.38 | Rush EPA | +0.12 | #88 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #20WR | Tre Richardson+34.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Keenan Jackson+31.7 | 97.1thWR |
| 91.0thWR | Lawayne McCoy+20.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Preston Douglas+21.6 | #9TE |
| #2DB | Kaleb Beasley+20.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jackson Vick+6.8 | 92.8thDB |
| 97.4thLB | Stanquan Clark+9.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Elijah Satchell+6.0 | 90.2thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#33 | 19 | 4★ Players | 22 | T-#29 |
| T-#88 | 51 | 3★ Players | 59 | T-#60 |
| Transfers | ||||
16 in · 18 out | OFF Transfers | 12 in · 11 out | ||
14 in · 12 out | DEF Transfers | 6 in · 14 out | ||
| 30% | OFF Returning | 60% | ||
| 51% | DEF Returning | 29% | ||