-11(-110)
SPREAD
+12.5(-110)
TOTAL · 50.5
O 50.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)-340
MONEYLINEUVA 77%
+340
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #25 | +0.13 | SOS Played | -0.01 | #91 |
| #75 | +0.03 | SOS Remaining | +0.11 | #58 |
| Offense | ||||
| #16 | +0.17 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.16 | #110 |
| #20 | +0.24 | EPA / Play | -0.05 | #123 |
| #59 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 4.9 | #121 |
| #37 | 44.8% | Success Rate | 36.3% | #122 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #69 | -0.06 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.11 | #127 |
| #74 | +0.12 | EPA / Play | +0.21 | #114 |
| #94 | 6.2 | Yards / Play | 5.9 | #76 |
| #64 | 42.1% | Success Rate | 43.9% | #91 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UVA Offense | vs |  UNC Defense | ||
| #35 | +0.23 | EPA / Pass | +0.33 | #123 |
| #12 | +0.25 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #57 |
| #38 | 51.6% | Available Yards % | 50.4% | #91 |
| #13 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #59 |
| #46 | +0.09 | Early Downs EPA | +0.07 | #76 |
| #10 | 52.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 48.1% | #117 |
| #7 | 5.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 8.3 | #5 |
| UVA Defense | vs | UNC Offense | ||
| #58 | +0.10 | EPA / Pass | -0.11 | #125 |
| #97 | +0.15 | EPA / Rush | +0.03 | #86 |
| #22 | 38.9% | Available Yards % | 32.8% | #129 |
| #40 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #101 |
| #99 | +0.12 | Early Downs EPA | -0.08 | #122 |
| #23 | 35.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 37.5% | #104 |
| #59 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.1 | #75 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#9 | 0.8 | Sacks Taken | 1.2 | T-#28 |
| T-#46 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 0.6 | T-#41 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#127 |
| T-#13 | 0.7 | Turnovers | 1.6 | T-#106 |
| T-#51 | 5.8 | Penalties | 5.0 | T-#28 |
| #47 | 47.2 | Penalty Yards | 50.2 | #57 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#37 | 2.3 | Sacks | 1.0 | T-#122 |
| T-#33 | 1.0 | INTs | 0.6 | T-#76 |
| T-#26 | 0.7 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#106 |
| T-#28 | 1.7 | Takeaways | 0.8 | T-#110 |
| #118 | 4.8 | Penalties Drawn | 6.6 | #57 |
| T-#107 | 42.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 61.0 | T-#42 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#22 | 9-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 5-6 | T-#84 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Tony Elliott | Head Coach | Bill Belichick | ||
| T-#36 | 5 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#90 |
| #95 | 22-26 | Career Record | 4-8 | T-#118 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 8 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Chandler Morris | QB | Giovanni Lopez | ||
| #64 | +0.29 | EPA / Att | -0.12 | #128 |
| #67 | 45.9% | Success Rate | 36.6% | #124 |
| #80 | 1.45 | Explosiveness | 1.22 | #125 |
| #14 | 2.4% | Sack Rate | 3.8% | #46 |
| #1 | +0.79 | Rush EPA | +0.33 | #55 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.5thWR | Trell Harris+46.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Jordan Shipp+40.6 | 91.4thWR |
| 89.8thWR | Cam Ross+36.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Kobe Paysour+16.0 | 70.0thWR |
| 98.4thDL | Mitchell Melton+17.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Melkart Abou Jaoude+15.9 | 97.5thDL |
| 94.4thDB | Ja'Son Prevard+16.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Andrew Simpson+15.8 | 95.0thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#62 | 7 | 4★ Players | 17 | T-#34 |
| T-#6 | 67 | 3★ Players | 49 | T-#57 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||