+5.5(-110)
SPREAD
-5(-110)
TOTAL · 66.5
O 66.5(-110)U 66.5(-110)
U 66.5(-110)+170
MONEYLINEARK 64%
-180
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #12 | +0.17 | SOS Played | +0.21 | #6 |
| #26 | +0.21 | SOS Remaining | +0.22 | #19 |
| Offense | ||||
| #39 | +0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.20 | #8 |
| #62 | +0.12 | EPA / Play | +0.29 | #12 |
| #83 | 5.6 | Yards / Play | 8.0 | #2 |
| #55 | 42.9% | Success Rate | 50.7% | #9 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #34 | -0.15 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.02 | #102 |
| #63 | +0.10 | EPA / Play | +0.29 | #132 |
| #80 | 5.9 | Yards / Play | 6.9 | #131 |
| #65 | 41.8% | Success Rate | 49.7% | #132 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 MSST Offense | vs |  ARK Defense | ||
| #61 | +0.16 | EPA / Pass | +0.31 | #119 |
| #66 | +0.08 | EPA / Rush | +0.27 | #133 |
| #99 | 41.2% | Available Yards % | 58.3% | #131 |
| #51 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #75 |
| #84 | +0.02 | Early Downs EPA | +0.23 | #133 |
| #61 | 42.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 50.5% | #130 |
| #94 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #95 |
| MSST Defense | vs | ARK Offense | ||
| #64 | +0.12 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #36 |
| #72 | +0.09 | EPA / Rush | +0.36 | #3 |
| #38 | 42.6% | Available Yards % | 59.5% | #8 |
| #36 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #130 |
| #77 | +0.06 | Early Downs EPA | +0.24 | #10 |
| #51 | 39.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 50.0% | T-#16 |
| #105 | 6.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.6 | #109 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#131 | 3.7 | Sacks Taken | 2.1 | T-#80 |
| T-#31 | 0.6 | INTs Thrown | 1.1 | T-#115 |
| T-#81 | 0.6 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#127 |
| T-#51 | 1.1 | Turnovers | 2.1 | T-#130 |
| T-#118 | 7.9 | Penalties | 5.9 | T-#53 |
| #124 | 69.9 | Penalty Yards | 50.0 | #53 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#56 | 2.0 | Sacks | 1.7 | T-#79 |
| T-#9 | 1.4 | INTs | 0.7 | T-#58 |
| T-#122 | 0.1 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#130 |
| T-#36 | 1.6 | Takeaways | 0.7 | T-#116 |
| T-#18 | 7.4 | Penalties Drawn | 6.1 | T-#75 |
| #54 | 58.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 51.6 | T-#84 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#28 | 8-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 4-8 | T-#118 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Jeff Lebby | Head Coach | Sam Pittman | ||
| T-#64 | 3 | Seasons at School | 6 | T-#125 |
| #130 | 7-18 | Career Record | 32-34 | T-#87 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Blake Shapen | QB | Taylen Green | ||
| #54 | +0.31 | EPA / Att | +0.39 | #30 |
| #76 | 44.2% | Success Rate | 52.5% | #14 |
| #32 | 1.60 | Explosiveness | 1.48 | #67 |
| #123 | 9.3% | Sack Rate | 5.6% | #90 |
| #127 | -0.14 | Rush EPA | +0.64 | #4 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #4WR | Brenen Thompson+75.4 | Playmaker · PPA | O'Mega Blake+61.0 | #25WR |
| 89.7thWR | Anthony Evans III+36.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Raylen Sharpe+38.7 | 90.7thWR |
| 97.7thDB | Brylan Lanier+21.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Quincy Rhodes Jr.+18.9 | #21DL |
| 94.3thDB | Kelley Jones+16.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Julian Neal+17.9 | 95.4thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 2 | T-#20 |
| #24 | 26 | 4★ Players | 22 | T-#27 |
| #102 | 35 | 3★ Players | 37 | T-#95 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||