-7.5(-110)
SPREAD
+8(-110)
TOTAL · 62.5
O 62.5(-110)
U 63.5(-110)
U 63.5(-110)-300
MONEYLINEDUKE 75%
+255
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #60 | +0.05 | SOS Played | -0.20 | #135 |
| #58 | +0.08 | SOS Remaining | +0.02 | #78 |
| Offense | ||||
| #28 | +0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #40 |
| #21 | +0.23 | EPA / Play | +0.28 | #14 |
| #14 | 6.9 | Yards / Play | 6.5 | #27 |
| #23 | 46.8% | Success Rate | 43.5% | #47 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #74 | -0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.07 | #118 |
| #100 | +0.17 | EPA / Play | +0.11 | #67 |
| #127 | 6.8 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #56 |
| #90 | 44.1% | Success Rate | 45.3% | #111 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 DUKE Offense | vs |  CONN Defense | ||
| #11 | +0.38 | EPA / Pass | +0.04 | #43 |
| #90 | +0.03 | EPA / Rush | +0.18 | #113 |
| #10 | 58.8% | Available Yards % | 44.1% | #59 |
| #35 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #3 |
| #27 | +0.15 | Early Downs EPA | +0.09 | #87 |
| #31 | 46.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 37.3% | #34 |
| #91 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.2 | #128 |
| DUKE Defense | vs | CONN Offense | ||
| #113 | +0.28 | EPA / Pass | +0.40 | #9 |
| #46 | +0.05 | EPA / Rush | +0.13 | #49 |
| #108 | 52.4% | Available Yards % | 51.0% | #40 |
| #17 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #19 |
| #92 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #33 |
| T-#88 | 44.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.6% | #59 |
| #10 | 7.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #39 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#63 | 1.9 | Sacks Taken | 1.3 | T-#20 |
| T-#8 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.0 | #1 |
| T-#107 | 0.7 | Fumbles Lost | 0.1 | T-#7 |
| T-#32 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 0.1 | #1 |
| T-#126 | 8.0 | Penalties | 4.1 | T-#9 |
| #136 | 78.0 | Penalty Yards | 40.5 | #24 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#45 | 2.1 | Sacks | 3.8 | T-#3 |
| T-#26 | 1.1 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#34 |
| T-#24 | 0.7 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.4 | T-#81 |
| T-#23 | 1.9 | Takeaways | 1.4 | T-#49 |
| T-#68 | 6.1 | Penalties Drawn | 4.5 | T-#124 |
| #53 | 57.4 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 40.3 | #116 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 7-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 6-5 | #49 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Manny Diaz | Head Coach | Gordon Sammis | ||
| T-#64 | 3 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#125 |
| #39 | 39-24 | Career Record | 0-1 | T-#139 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Darian Mensah | QB | Joe Fagnano | ||
| #9 | +0.49 | EPA / Att | +0.43 | #21 |
| #14 | 51.9% | Success Rate | 45.1% | #66 |
| #66 | 1.49 | Explosiveness | 1.60 | #29 |
| #36 | 3.7% | Sack Rate | 3.0% | #23 |
| #122 | -0.09 | Rush EPA | +0.32 | #48 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #16WR | Cooper Barkate+64.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Skyler Bell+73.6 | #5WR |
| #20RB | Nate Sheppard+38.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Cam Edwards+50.5 | #6RB |
| 97.1thLB | Luke Mergott+18.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bryun Parham+23.0 | #14LB |
| 95.4thDB | Chandler Rivers+17.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Cam Chadwick Jr.+21.7 | 97.7thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#62 | 7 | 4★ Players | 7 | T-#62 |
| T-#6 | 67 | 3★ Players | 44 | T-#78 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||