+5.5(-110)
SPREAD
-5(-110)
TOTAL · 59.5
O 59.5(-110)U 60.5(-110)
U 60.5(-110)+190
MONEYLINEDUKE 68%
-215
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #56 | +0.05 | SOS Played | +0.06 | #55 |
| #61 | +0.08 | SOS Remaining | +0.10 | #56 |
| Offense | ||||
| #44 | +0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.07 | #34 |
| #53 | +0.14 | EPA / Play | +0.23 | #24 |
| #73 | 5.7 | Yards / Play | 6.9 | #15 |
| #68 | 41.8% | Success Rate | 47.6% | #16 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #54 | -0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.04 | #69 |
| #41 | +0.05 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #110 |
| #39 | 5.5 | Yards / Play | 6.7 | #124 |
| #30 | 39.1% | Success Rate | 45.1% | #109 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UVA Offense | vs |  DUKE Defense | ||
| #68 | +0.10 | EPA / Pass | +0.29 | #115 |
| #22 | +0.19 | EPA / Rush | +0.07 | #55 |
| #64 | 46.4% | Available Yards % | 53.4% | #111 |
| #18 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #34 |
| #72 | +0.04 | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #112 |
| #31 | 46.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.6% | #82 |
| #4 | 5.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.9 | #9 |
| UVA Defense | vs | DUKE Offense | ||
| #36 | +0.01 | EPA / Pass | +0.35 | #15 |
| #64 | +0.08 | EPA / Rush | +0.07 | #75 |
| #17 | 36.2% | Available Yards % | 57.7% | #15 |
| #47 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #43 |
| #50 | +0.02 | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #32 |
| #17 | 34.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 47.0% | #29 |
| #56 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #89 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#55 | 1.7 | Sacks Taken | 1.9 | T-#70 |
| T-#25 | 0.6 | INTs Thrown | 0.5 | T-#18 |
| T-#26 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.8 | T-#111 |
| T-#24 | 0.9 | Turnovers | 1.3 | T-#67 |
| T-#36 | 5.3 | Penalties | 7.8 | T-#116 |
| #29 | 44.8 | Penalty Yards | 76.1 | #135 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#42 | 2.2 | Sacks | 2.1 | T-#50 |
| T-#26 | 1.1 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#33 |
| T-#49 | 0.6 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.6 | T-#36 |
| T-#29 | 1.7 | Takeaways | 1.6 | T-#34 |
| #117 | 4.8 | Penalties Drawn | 6.0 | T-#76 |
| #111 | 42.9 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 57.8 | #53 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#22 | 9-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 7-6 | T-#50 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Tony Elliott | Head Coach | Manny Diaz | ||
| T-#36 | 5 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#64 |
| #95 | 22-26 | Career Record | 39-24 | #39 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Daniel Kaelin | QB | Darian Mensah | ||
| #127 | -0.04 | EPA / Att | +0.46 | #14 |
| #111 | 40.4% | Success Rate | 51.4% | #15 |
| #122 | 1.26 | Explosiveness | 1.49 | #66 |
| #1 | 0.0% | Sack Rate | 4.0% | #46 |
| #104 | +0.10 | Rush EPA | +0.00 | #114 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.5thWR | Trell Harris+46.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Cooper Barkate+64.3 | #16WR |
| 89.8thWR | Cam Ross+36.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Nate Sheppard+38.5 | #20RB |
| 98.4thDL | Mitchell Melton+17.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Luke Mergott+18.6 | 97.1thLB |
| 94.4thDB | Ja'Son Prevard+16.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Chandler Rivers+17.9 | 95.4thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#62 | 7 | 4★ Players | 7 | T-#62 |
| T-#6 | 67 | 3★ Players | 67 | T-#6 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||