+16.5(-110)
SPREAD
-15.5(-110)
TOTAL · 54.5
O 54.5(-110)U 55(-110)
U 55(-110)+550
MONEYLINEMIA 86%
-625
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #20 | +0.15 | SOS Played | +0.18 | #8 |
| #41 | +0.16 | SOS Remaining | +0.25 | #16 |
| Offense | ||||
| #24 | +0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.15 | #17 |
| #41 | +0.17 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #34 |
| #21 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #58 |
| #59 | 42.6% | Success Rate | 46.4% | #25 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #93 | +0.01 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.31 | #2 |
| #119 | +0.22 | EPA / Play | -0.08 | #4 |
| #127 | 6.8 | Yards / Play | 4.9 | #15 |
| #41 | 39.8% | Success Rate | 36.8% | #17 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 NCSU Offense | vs |  MIA Defense | ||
| #32 | +0.26 | EPA / Pass | -0.09 | #14 |
| #72 | +0.07 | EPA / Rush | -0.08 | #9 |
| #52 | 48.3% | Available Yards % | 34.2% | #11 |
| #123 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #6 |
| #29 | +0.14 | Early Downs EPA | -0.08 | #16 |
| #69 | 41.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 32.6% | #7 |
| #114 | 7.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.8 | #12 |
| NCSU Defense | vs | MIA Offense | ||
| #114 | +0.29 | EPA / Pass | +0.30 | #19 |
| #102 | +0.14 | EPA / Rush | +0.08 | #66 |
| #123 | 56.4% | Available Yards % | 47.1% | #59 |
| #107 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 33 | #13 |
| #80 | +0.07 | Early Downs EPA | +0.12 | #37 |
| #117 | 47.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 46.7% | #33 |
| #36 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.5 | #19 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#58 | 1.8 | Sacks Taken | 0.8 | T-#7 |
| T-#82 | 0.9 | INTs Thrown | 1.1 | T-#116 |
| T-#18 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#45 | 1.1 | Turnovers | 1.1 | T-#45 |
| T-#51 | 5.9 | Penalties | 8.1 | T-#130 |
| T-#74 | 55.9 | Penalty Yards | 63.9 | #109 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#112 | 1.4 | Sacks | 2.9 | T-#11 |
| T-#62 | 0.8 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#33 |
| T-#127 | 0.1 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.8 | T-#16 |
| T-#110 | 0.9 | Takeaways | 1.8 | T-#24 |
| T-#55 | 6.4 | Penalties Drawn | 4.4 | T-#129 |
| #48 | 58.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 36.1 | #127 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 7-6 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 11-5 | #20 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Doeren | Head Coach | Mario Cristobal | ||
| #5 | 14 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#36 |
| #42 | 118-74 | Career Record | 97-78 | #63 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| CJ Bailey | QB | Carson Beck | ||
| #33 | +0.36 | EPA / Att | +0.36 | #34 |
| #37 | 48.2% | Success Rate | 49.6% | #24 |
| #22 | 1.62 | Explosiveness | 1.45 | #81 |
| #50 | 4.1% | Sack Rate | 1.9% | #5 |
| #77 | +0.23 | Rush EPA | +0.03 | #112 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 93.6thWR | Terrell Anderson+43.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Malachi Toney+60.4 | 97.7thWR |
| 85.5thWR | Wesley Grimes+31.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Keelan Marion+49.2 | 95.5thWR |
| T-#23LB | Caden Fordham+21.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jakobe Thomas+29.5 | #8DB |
| 96.4thDB | Devon Marshall+19.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bryce Fitzgerald+29.5 | #9DB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 4 | T-#9 |
| T-#31 | 18 | 4★ Players | 39 | #15 |
| T-#50 | 51 | 3★ Players | 31 | T-#111 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||