+17.5(-110)
SPREAD
-17.5(-110)
TOTAL · 42.5
O 42.5(-110)
U 43.5(-110)
U 43.5(-110)+700
MONEYLINEIOWA 89%
-850
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #40 | +0.10 | SOS Played | +0.09 | #45 |
| #46 | +0.13 | SOS Remaining | +0.08 | #59 |
| Offense | ||||
| #96 | -0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.00 | #65 |
| #105 | +0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.11 | #63 |
| #115 | 5.1 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #102 |
| #87 | 40.4% | Success Rate | 42.9% | #55 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #66 | -0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.27 | #5 |
| #105 | +0.18 | EPA / Play | -0.05 | #8 |
| #76 | 5.9 | Yards / Play | 5.0 | #14 |
| #109 | 45.0% | Success Rate | 40.7% | #49 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 MSU Offense | vs |  IOWA Defense | ||
| #99 | +0.02 | EPA / Pass | -0.10 | #9 |
| #90 | +0.03 | EPA / Rush | -0.00 | #24 |
| #99 | 41.3% | Available Yards % | 34.7% | #13 |
| #65 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #20 |
| #76 | +0.03 | Early Downs EPA | -0.00 | #41 |
| #111 | 36.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 35.2% | #21 |
| #107 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.3 | #129 |
| MSU Defense | vs | IOWA Offense | ||
| #82 | +0.17 | EPA / Pass | +0.03 | #94 |
| #117 | +0.19 | EPA / Rush | +0.17 | #29 |
| #92 | 49.3% | Available Yards % | 47.3% | #60 |
| #132 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #5 |
| #121 | +0.16 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #63 |
| #81 | 42.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 44.4% | #46 |
| #109 | 6.6 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.9 | #5 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#132 | 3.9 | Sacks Taken | 1.3 | T-#25 |
| T-#8 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.7 | T-#41 |
| T-#102 | 0.7 | Fumbles Lost | 0.2 | T-#12 |
| T-#23 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 0.9 | T-#12 |
| T-#57 | 5.9 | Penalties | 2.7 | #1 |
| T-#60 | 52.1 | Penalty Yards | 26.0 | #2 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#90 | 1.7 | Sacks | 1.9 | T-#73 |
| T-#132 | 0.2 | INTs | 1.1 | T-#22 |
| T-#93 | 0.3 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#112 |
| T-#131 | 0.6 | Takeaways | 1.3 | T-#54 |
| T-#96 | 5.4 | Penalties Drawn | 3.4 | #136 |
| #112 | 41.1 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 31.0 | #133 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#41 | 7-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 9-4 | T-#13 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Jonathan Smith | Head Coach | Kirk Ferentz | ||
| T-#90 | 2 | Seasons at School | 28 | #1 |
| #94 | 43-50 | Career Record | 213-128 | #38 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Alessio Milivojevic | QB | Mark Gronowski | ||
| #88 | +0.19 | EPA / Att | +0.12 | #109 |
| #71 | 44.4% | Success Rate | 39.3% | #113 |
| #56 | 1.52 | Explosiveness | 1.42 | #89 |
| #127 | 13.5% | Sack Rate | 5.6% | #88 |
| #106 | +0.08 | Rush EPA | +0.52 | #11 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 92.3thWR | Omari Kelly+42.0 | Playmaker · PPA | DJ Vonnahme+26.4 | #23TE |
| 83.0thWR | Nick Marsh+28.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Sam Phillips+17.3 | 71.7thWR |
| 86.7thDB | Malik Spencer+11.7 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Zach Lutmer+23.4 | 98.3thDB |
| 83.9thDB | Malcolm Bell+10.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Max Llewellyn+15.4 | 97.0thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#39 | 14 | 4★ Players | 13 | T-#45 |
| #31 | 57 | 3★ Players | 59 | T-#25 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||