-6.5(-110)
SPREAD
+6.5(-110)
TOTAL · 48.5
O 48.5(-110)
U 49.5(-110)
U 49.5(-110)-250
MONEYLINEMIA 71%
+215
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #22 | +0.15 | SOS Played | +0.09 | #50 |
| #9 | +0.35 | SOS Remaining | +0.25 | #25 |
| Offense | ||||
| #15 | +0.18 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.01 | #70 |
| #23 | +0.23 | EPA / Play | +0.09 | #72 |
| #33 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 6.1 | #52 |
| #21 | 46.8% | Success Rate | 40.1% | #93 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #5 | -0.29 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.24 | #8 |
| #6 | -0.07 | EPA / Play | -0.06 | #7 |
| #13 | 5.0 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #44 |
| #13 | 36.2% | Success Rate | 36.0% | #10 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 MIA Offense | vs |  PITT Defense | ||
| #8 | +0.39 | EPA / Pass | -0.04 | #21 |
| #69 | +0.08 | EPA / Rush | -0.08 | #6 |
| #37 | 51.1% | Available Yards % | 35.7% | #14 |
| #15 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #89 |
| #24 | +0.16 | Early Downs EPA | -0.05 | #23 |
| #23 | 48.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 34.5% | #14 |
| #16 | 6.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.9 | #8 |
| MIA Defense | vs | PITT Offense | ||
| #13 | -0.07 | EPA / Pass | +0.14 | #61 |
| #9 | -0.06 | EPA / Rush | +0.03 | #92 |
| #9 | 33.8% | Available Yards % | 48.6% | #50 |
| #5 | Own 26 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #5 |
| #15 | -0.07 | Early Downs EPA | +0.06 | #62 |
| #7 | 33.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 36.9% | #106 |
| #7 | 8.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.8 | #128 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| #6 | 0.7 | Sacks Taken | 3.5 | #128 |
| T-#79 | 0.9 | INTs Thrown | 1.2 | T-#121 |
| T-#4 | 0.1 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#34 |
| T-#25 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 1.6 | T-#106 |
| T-#135 | 8.2 | Penalties | 8.0 | T-#131 |
| #125 | 67.4 | Penalty Yards | 71.8 | #135 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#12 | 2.9 | Sacks | 2.2 | T-#40 |
| T-#32 | 1.0 | INTs | 1.4 | T-#9 |
| T-#19 | 0.7 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#56 |
| T-#24 | 1.7 | Takeaways | 1.9 | T-#13 |
| T-#122 | 4.6 | Penalties Drawn | 8.1 | #5 |
| #120 | 39.4 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 79.9 | #2 |
| Record | ||||
| #20 | 11-5 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 8-5 | T-#28 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Mario Cristobal | Head Coach | Pat Narduzzi | ||
| T-#36 | 5 | Seasons at School | 12 | #10 |
| #63 | 97-78 | Career Record | 80-61 | #61 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Carson Beck | QB | Mason Heintschel | ||
| #14 | +0.44 | EPA / Att | +0.37 | #32 |
| #16 | 51.1% | Success Rate | 43.6% | #77 |
| #58 | 1.52 | Explosiveness | 1.63 | #20 |
| #9 | 1.8% | Sack Rate | 8.7% | #120 |
| #113 | +0.03 | Rush EPA | +0.15 | #93 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.7thWR | Malachi Toney+60.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Kenny Johnson+31.9 | 86.5thWR |
| 95.5thWR | Keelan Marion+49.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Raphael Williams Jr.+31.4 | 85.8thWR |
| #8DB | Jakobe Thomas+29.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Rasheem Biles+30.5 | #2LB |
| #9DB | Bryce Fitzgerald+29.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Kyle Louis+19.6 | 97.5thLB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#9 | 4 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| #15 | 39 | 4★ Players | 7 | T-#62 |
| T-#111 | 31 | 3★ Players | 61 | T-#20 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||