+3.5(-110)
SPREAD
-3(-110)
TOTAL · 58.5
O 58.5(-110)U 58.5(-110)
U 58.5(-110)+135
MONEYLINEBAY 61%
-155
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #80 | +0.01 | SOS Played | +0.12 | #32 |
| #52 | +0.12 | SOS Remaining | +0.18 | #31 |
| Offense | ||||
| #66 | -0.02 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.08 | #30 |
| #50 | +0.14 | EPA / Play | +0.15 | #47 |
| #39 | 6.3 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #58 |
| #79 | 40.8% | Success Rate | 44.0% | #42 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #42 | -0.13 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.03 | #83 |
| #29 | +0.03 | EPA / Play | +0.18 | #103 |
| #26 | 5.2 | Yards / Play | 6.1 | #88 |
| #44 | 40.4% | Success Rate | 46.6% | #121 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UCF Offense | vs |  BAY Defense | ||
| #64 | +0.16 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #94 |
| #52 | +0.11 | EPA / Rush | +0.14 | #98 |
| #43 | 50.5% | Available Yards % | 53.2% | #112 |
| #127 | Own 26 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #106 |
| #42 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.09 | #91 |
| #78 | 40.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 45.8% | #104 |
| #98 | 7.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.1 | #58 |
| UCF Defense | vs | BAY Offense | ||
| #14 | -0.09 | EPA / Pass | +0.26 | #30 |
| #90 | +0.13 | EPA / Rush | -0.01 | #111 |
| #19 | 37.6% | Available Yards % | 53.4% | #30 |
| #84 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #93 |
| #36 | -0.02 | Early Downs EPA | +0.11 | #36 |
| #17 | 34.7% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 44.1% | T-#49 |
| T-#70 | 7.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.3 | #14 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#41 | 1.5 | Sacks Taken | 1.9 | T-#66 |
| T-#47 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 0.7 | T-#56 |
| T-#101 | 0.7 | Fumbles Lost | 1.3 | T-#136 |
| T-#87 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 2.0 | T-#124 |
| #111 | 7.5 | Penalties | 6.0 | T-#58 |
| #89 | 59.2 | Penalty Yards | 60.4 | #92 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#46 | 2.2 | Sacks | 0.7 | T-#130 |
| T-#70 | 0.7 | INTs | 0.3 | T-#121 |
| T-#112 | 0.2 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.1 | T-#122 |
| T-#107 | 0.8 | Takeaways | 0.4 | T-#133 |
| T-#90 | 5.7 | Penalties Drawn | 7.0 | T-#32 |
| #95 | 48.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 73.0 | #6 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#118 | 4-8 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 2-10 | T-#136 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Scott Frost | Head Coach | Dave Aranda | ||
| T-#90 | 2 | Seasons at School | 7 | T-#18 |
| #92 | 40-45 | Career Record | 36-37 | T-#83 |
| Situation | ||||
| 14 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Tayven Jackson | QB | Sawyer Robertson | ||
| #33 | +0.38 | EPA / Att | +0.24 | #79 |
| #70 | 44.9% | Success Rate | 46.9% | #51 |
| #46 | 1.56 | Explosiveness | 1.48 | #70 |
| #39 | 3.7% | Sack Rate | 4.2% | #54 |
| #20 | +0.47 | Rush EPA | +0.25 | #80 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 91.1thRB | Jaden Nixon+24.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Josh Cameron+40.8 | 91.5thWR |
| 74.9thWR | Duane Thomas Jr.+20.2 | Playmaker · PPA | Ashtyn Hawkins+37.0 | 90.2thWR |
| 95.0thDB | Phillip Dunnam+17.3 | Defender · Havoc EPA | DJ Coleman+15.3 | 92.9thDB |
| 97.1thDL | Malachi Lawrence+15.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jacob Redding+14.6 | 92.1thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#33 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| T-#37 | 15 | 4★ Players | 14 | T-#39 |
| T-#91 | 39 | 3★ Players | 65 | T-#11 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||