-6.5(-110)
SPREAD
+7(-110)
TOTAL · 58.5
O 58.5(-110)U 59.5(-110)
U 59.5(-110)-195
MONEYLINEFSU 66%
+210
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #35 | +0.12 | SOS Played | +0.18 | #8 |
| #52 | +0.09 | SOS Remaining | +0.06 | #64 |
| Offense | ||||
| #19 | +0.16 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.09 | #30 |
| #27 | +0.21 | EPA / Play | +0.14 | #51 |
| #18 | 6.8 | Yards / Play | 6.5 | #27 |
| #25 | 46.3% | Success Rate | 40.7% | #82 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #49 | -0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.03 | #104 |
| #61 | +0.09 | EPA / Play | +0.25 | #127 |
| #23 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 6.9 | #132 |
| #45 | 40.3% | Success Rate | 41.1% | #56 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 FSU Offense | vs |  NCSU Defense | ||
| #51 | +0.18 | EPA / Pass | +0.32 | #123 |
| #14 | +0.23 | EPA / Rush | +0.16 | #108 |
| #12 | 58.6% | Available Yards % | 57.9% | #129 |
| #42 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #100 |
| #45 | +0.10 | Early Downs EPA | +0.11 | #106 |
| T-#11 | 50.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 47.9% | #118 |
| #84 | 7.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.3 | #47 |
| FSU Defense | vs | NCSU Offense | ||
| #73 | +0.15 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #39 |
| #42 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.04 | #82 |
| #31 | 41.4% | Available Yards % | 44.5% | #72 |
| #69 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | #130 |
| #47 | +0.01 | Early Downs EPA | +0.09 | #47 |
| #72 | 41.8% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.3% | #75 |
| #90 | 6.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.7 | #111 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#82 | 2.1 | Sacks Taken | 1.7 | T-#48 |
| T-#41 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 1.0 | T-#93 |
| T-#102 | 0.7 | Fumbles Lost | 0.2 | T-#12 |
| T-#76 | 1.3 | Turnovers | 1.2 | T-#63 |
| T-#39 | 5.6 | Penalties | 5.7 | T-#45 |
| T-#47 | 49.3 | Penalty Yards | 53.0 | T-#65 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#28 | 2.4 | Sacks | 1.3 | T-#113 |
| T-#34 | 1.0 | INTs | 0.7 | T-#74 |
| T-#112 | 0.2 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#112 |
| T-#65 | 1.2 | Takeaways | 0.9 | T-#108 |
| T-#38 | 6.8 | Penalties Drawn | 6.6 | T-#49 |
| #56 | 56.9 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 60.6 | #36 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#87 | 5-7 | Current Year ATS (2025) | 7-6 | T-#50 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Mike Norvell | Head Coach | Dave Doeren | ||
| T-#18 | 7 | Seasons at School | 14 | #5 |
| #47 | 76-50 | Career Record | 118-74 | #42 |
| Situation | ||||
| 6 days | Rest | 6 days | ||
| — | Travel | — | ||
| Thomas Castellanos | QB | CJ Bailey | ||
| #26 | +0.40 | EPA / Att | +0.32 | #47 |
| #85 | 43.1% | Success Rate | 45.8% | #58 |
| #1 | 1.90 | Explosiveness | 1.60 | #22 |
| #89 | 5.7% | Sack Rate | 4.0% | #50 |
| #78 | +0.22 | Rush EPA | +0.26 | #67 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.1thWR | Duce Robinson+56.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Terrell Anderson+43.9 | 93.6thWR |
| 93.1thWR | Micahi Danzy+43.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Wesley Grimes+31.0 | 85.5thWR |
| 97.2thDB | Earl Little Jr.+20.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Caden Fordham+21.4 | T-#23LB |
| 96.2thDB | Edwin Joseph+19.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Devon Marshall+19.8 | 96.4thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#20 | 2 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#33 |
| #17 | 37 | 4★ Players | 18 | T-#31 |
| T-#104 | 33 | 3★ Players | 51 | T-#50 |
| Transfers | ||||
0 in · 0 out | OFF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
0 in · 0 out | DEF Transfers | 0 in · 0 out | ||
| — | OFF Returning | — | ||
| — | DEF Returning | — | ||