+7(-110)
SPREAD
-7(-110)
TOTAL · 51.5
O 51.5(-110)U 51.5(-110)
U 51.5(-110)+270
MONEYLINEJXST 74%
-285
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #129 | -0.31 | SOS Played | -0.09 | #93 |
| #105 | -0.15 | SOS Remaining | -0.23 | #123 |
| Offense | ||||
| #134 | -0.36 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.06 | #76 |
| #56 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | +0.12 | #69 |
| #88 | 5.5 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #82 |
| #78 | 41.0% | Success Rate | 41.2% | #76 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #23 | -0.19 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #86 |
| #47 | +0.06 | EPA / Play | +0.14 | #74 |
| #35 | 5.2 | Yards / Play | 5.0 | #22 |
| #49 | 40.2% | Success Rate | 43.8% | #87 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
| MTSU Offense | vs | JXST Defense | ||
| #61 | +0.23 | EPA / Pass | +0.11 | #61 |
| #48 | +0.15 | EPA / Rush | +0.16 | #92 |
| #86 | 42.2% | Available Yards % | 53.6% | #100 |
| #61 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #121 |
| #50 | +0.11 | Early Downs EPA | +0.02 | #47 |
| #102 | 34.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 54.0% | #123 |
| #85 | 7.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.1 | #113 |
| MTSU Defense | vs | JXST Offense | ||
| #89 | +0.26 | EPA / Pass | +0.27 | #53 |
| #24 | -0.07 | EPA / Rush | -0.00 | #100 |
| #32 | 36.9% | Available Yards % | 41.2% | #94 |
| #94 | Own 31 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #20 |
| #25 | -0.09 | Early Downs EPA | -0.00 | #99 |
| #51 | 38.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 46.5% | #46 |
| T-#34 | 7.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.2 | #31 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#22 | 1.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.0 | T-#22 |
| T-#42 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#32 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#100 |
| T-#17 | 0.5 | Turnovers | 1.3 | T-#76 |
| T-#116 | 8.5 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#70 |
| #80 | 59.0 | Penalty Yards | 58.7 | #79 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#123 | 0.5 | Sacks | 1.7 | T-#64 |
| T-#73 | 0.5 | INTs | 0.7 | T-#60 |
| T-#4 | 1.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#99 |
| T-#19 | 2.0 | Takeaways | 0.7 | T-#101 |
| T-#93 | 5.5 | Penalties Drawn | 7.7 | T-#39 |
| #99 | 44.5 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 59.3 | #63 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#117 | 3-9 | Last Year Record (2025) | 9-5 | T-#47 |
| T-#22 | 4-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Derek Mason | Head Coach | Charles Kelly | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 2 | T-#78 |
| #119 | 33-73 | Career Record | 9-5 | #33 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 144 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Roman Gagliano | QB | Caden Creel | ||
| #78 | +0.28 | EPA / Att | +0.46 | #37 |
| #87 | 43.1% | Success Rate | 48.5% | #56 |
| #99 | 1.39 | Explosiveness | 1.68 | #36 |
| #18 | 1.9% | Sack Rate | 3.9% | #51 |
| #57 | +0.29 | Rush EPA | +0.06 | #88 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 92.1thWR | Cam'ron Lacy+21.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Deondre Johnson+28.2 | 95.1thWR |
| 68.2thWR | Markus Allen+7.9 | Playmaker · PPA | Jamill Williams+17.4 | 86.4thWR |
| 85.8thDB | James Johnson+5.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Caleb Nix+11.3 | 98.2thDB |
| 84.6thDB | Jackson Lowe+4.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jonavan Carr+7.1 | 93.8thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#91 | 4 | 4★ Players | 5 | T-#83 |
| T-#88 | 51 | 3★ Players | 56 | #77 |
| Transfers | ||||
8 in · 9 out | OFF Transfers | 10 in · 5 out | ||
9 in · 9 out | DEF Transfers | 10 in · 9 out | ||
| 34% | OFF Returning | 49% | ||
| 30% | DEF Returning | 51% | ||