+10.5(-110)
SPREAD
-10.5(-110)
TOTAL · 50.5
O 50.5(-110)U 51(-110)
U 51(-110)+335
MONEYLINEHOU 81%
-425
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #56 | +0.02 | SOS Played | +0.15 | #19 |
| #51 | +0.07 | SOS Remaining | +0.09 | #45 |
| Offense | ||||
| #89 | -0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.29 | #4 |
| #109 | -0.00 | EPA / Play | +0.35 | #10 |
| #100 | 5.4 | Yards / Play | 7.1 | #16 |
| #102 | 38.0% | Success Rate | 53.6% | #4 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #50 | -0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.01 | #75 |
| #35 | +0.02 | EPA / Play | +0.20 | #89 |
| #58 | 5.6 | Yards / Play | 6.1 | #78 |
| T-#34 | 38.2% | Success Rate | 45.7% | #97 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UCF Offense | vs |  HOU Defense | ||
| #96 | +0.01 | EPA / Pass | +0.33 | #103 |
| #105 | -0.02 | EPA / Rush | -0.00 | #36 |
| #105 | 38.2% | Available Yards % | 47.7% | #72 |
| #12 | Own 34 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 24 | #10 |
| #70 | +0.06 | Early Downs EPA | +0.11 | #79 |
| T-#128 | 28.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 45.8% | #100 |
| #82 | 7.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.8 | #31 |
| UCF Defense | vs | HOU Offense | ||
| #47 | +0.06 | EPA / Pass | +0.52 | #6 |
| #29 | -0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.21 | #33 |
| #51 | 42.9% | Available Yards % | 65.9% | #4 |
| #69 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #68 |
| #17 | -0.11 | Early Downs EPA | +0.22 | #27 |
| #87 | 43.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 65.8% | #1 |
| #45 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.7 | #7 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#54 | 1.7 | Sacks Taken | 1.3 | T-#39 |
| T-#24 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#24 |
| T-#81 | 0.7 | Fumbles Lost | 0.7 | T-#81 |
| T-#48 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#48 |
| T-#67 | 6.7 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#74 |
| #41 | 47.7 | Penalty Yards | 56.7 | T-#67 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#38 | 2.3 | Sacks | 2.3 | T-#38 |
| T-#5 | 1.7 | INTs | 0.7 | T-#56 |
| T-#35 | 0.7 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.3 | T-#69 |
| T-#6 | 2.3 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#68 |
| T-#16 | 8.7 | Penalties Drawn | 6.3 | T-#76 |
| T-#29 | 70.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 47.0 | #99 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#22 | 4-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Scott Frost | Head Coach | Willie Fritz | ||
| T-#78 | 2 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| #94 | 40-45 | Career Record | 86-65 | #65 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 857 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Keyone Jenkins | QB | Conner Weigman | ||
| #77 | +0.29 | EPA / Att | +0.65 | #7 |
| #68 | 46.3% | Success Rate | 59.8% | #7 |
| #123 | 1.31 | Explosiveness | 1.56 | #58 |
| #105 | 6.8% | Sack Rate | 3.8% | #52 |
| #128 | -0.36 | Rush EPA | +0.50 | #27 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 92.8thWR | Josh Derry+22.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Amare Thomas+26.3 | 94.2thWR |
| 93.1thTE | Caden Piening+13.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Patrick Overmyer+24.1 | #7TE |
| 98.6thDB | Demari Henderson+12.6 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Jordan Allen+13.7 | T-#22DB |
| 95.5thLB | Tackett Curtis+8.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Javion White+10.6 | 97.5thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 2 | T-#18 |
| T-#48 | 11 | 4★ Players | 8 | T-#65 |
| T-#104 | 45 | 3★ Players | 63 | T-#40 |
| Transfers | ||||
13 in · 14 out | OFF Transfers | 10 in · 10 out | ||
16 in · 20 out | DEF Transfers | 6 in · 6 out | ||
| 26% | OFF Returning | 82% | ||
| 52% | DEF Returning | 38% | ||