-1(-110)
SPREAD
+1.5(-112)
TOTAL · 54.5
O 54.5(-110)U 54.5(-102)
U 54.5(-102)-115
MONEYLINEUSC 53%
-105
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #65 | +0.01 | SOS Played | +0.06 | #46 |
| #4 | +0.26 | SOS Remaining | -0.01 | #72 |
| Offense | ||||
| #10 | +0.24 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.00 | #69 |
| #13 | +0.31 | EPA / Play | +0.18 | #48 |
| #21 | 6.8 | Yards / Play | 6.2 | #53 |
| #5 | 52.3% | Success Rate | 42.3% | #65 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #102 | +0.11 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.26 | #7 |
| #99 | +0.22 | EPA / Play | -0.02 | #25 |
| #101 | 6.4 | Yards / Play | 5.2 | #28 |
| #77 | 42.7% | Success Rate | 37.0% | #24 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 USC Offense | vs |  PSU Defense | ||
| #9 | +0.46 | EPA / Pass | -0.25 | #1 |
| #49 | +0.16 | EPA / Rush | +0.17 | #94 |
| #3 | 65.1% | Available Yards % | 31.8% | #7 |
| #63 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #10 |
| #13 | +0.26 | Early Downs EPA | -0.03 | #31 |
| #6 | 54.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 29.2% | T-#6 |
| #10 | 5.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #92 |
| USC Defense | vs | PSU Offense | ||
| #110 | +0.34 | EPA / Pass | +0.30 | #32 |
| #54 | +0.08 | EPA / Rush | +0.08 | #76 |
| #65 | 45.6% | Available Yards % | 51.5% | #39 |
| #11 | Own 25 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #16 |
| #101 | +0.16 | Early Downs EPA | +0.13 | #47 |
| #62 | 40.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 40.3% | #76 |
| #87 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.3 | #28 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#15 | 1.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.2 | #31 |
| T-#71 | 0.7 | INTs Thrown | 0.6 | T-#68 |
| T-#51 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#47 | 1.0 | Turnovers | 0.6 | T-#19 |
| #78 | 6.8 | Penalties | 4.8 | #18 |
| #85 | 60.8 | Penalty Yards | 47.2 | #34 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| #58 | 2.2 | Sacks | 1.2 | #108 |
| T-#71 | 0.5 | INTs | 1.0 | T-#28 |
| T-#85 | 0.3 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.8 | T-#20 |
| #99 | 0.8 | Takeaways | 1.8 | T-#21 |
| T-#115 | 5.0 | Penalties Drawn | 5.6 | #102 |
| #120 | 41.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 53.0 | T-#90 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#125 | 2-5 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-4 | T-#106 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Lincoln Riley | Head Coach | Matt Campbell | ||
| T-#30 | 5 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#109 |
| #12 | 90-28 | Career Record | 107-70 | #48 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 8 days | ||
| 2,247 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jayden Maiava | QB | Rocco Becht | ||
| #11 | +0.55 | EPA / Att | +0.38 | #48 |
| #6 | 58.1% | Success Rate | 47.8% | #55 |
| #80 | 1.47 | Explosiveness | 1.65 | #32 |
| #18 | 2.5% | Sack Rate | 4.3% | #53 |
| #129 | -0.44 | Rush EPA | +0.02 | #98 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 96.0thWR | Trent Mosley+29.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Koby Howard+27.0 | 94.7thWR |
| 95.3thWR | Kayden Dixon-Wyatt+28.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Chase Sowell+26.1 | 94.1thWR |
| 96.9thDB | Prophet Brown+10.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Tony Rojas+19.6 | #1LB |
| 97.1thDL | Luke Wafle+7.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Josiah Zayas+6.8 | 93.0thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#11 | 4 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| #8 | 44 | 4★ Players | 29 | T-#20 |
| T-#120 | 33 | 3★ Players | 47 | T-#102 |
| Transfers | ||||
2 in · 11 out | OFF Transfers | 19 in · 21 out | ||
7 in · 12 out | DEF Transfers | 18 in · 24 out | ||
| 59% | OFF Returning | 7% | ||
| 55% | DEF Returning | 28% | ||