+7(-108)
SPREAD
-7(-110)
TOTAL · 42.5
O 42.5(-105)U 42.5(-110)
U 42.5(-110)+230
MONEYLINEBUF 62%
-160
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #138 | -0.30 | SOS Played | -0.06 | #93 |
| #126 | -0.22 | SOS Remaining | -0.25 | #131 |
| Offense | ||||
| #98 | -0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.09 | #96 |
| #42 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #106 |
| #56 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 4.3 | #135 |
| #43 | 44.4% | Success Rate | 30.4% | #134 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #102 | +0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.14 | #111 |
| #51 | +0.08 | EPA / Play | +0.19 | #92 |
| #38 | 5.3 | Yards / Play | 6.7 | #111 |
| #88 | 43.5% | Success Rate | 41.9% | #64 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 MASS Offense | vs |  BUF Defense | ||
| #19 | +0.38 | EPA / Pass | +0.36 | #120 |
| #95 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.03 | #39 |
| #79 | 43.7% | Available Yards % | 50.1% | #90 |
| #93 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 31 | #95 |
| #43 | +0.11 | Early Downs EPA | +0.19 | #112 |
| #84 | 39.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 35.6% | T-#34 |
| #52 | 6.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.9 | #22 |
| MASS Defense | vs | BUF Offense | ||
| #53 | +0.07 | EPA / Pass | -0.02 | #111 |
| #62 | +0.08 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #81 |
| #50 | 42.5% | Available Yards % | 33.7% | #127 |
| #103 | Own 32 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 27 | #110 |
| #22 | -0.05 | Early Downs EPA | -0.09 | #128 |
| #113 | 47.5% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 33.3% | T-#110 |
| #110 | 6.4 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #61 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#29 | 1.3 | Sacks Taken | 3.3 | T-#125 |
| T-#23 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#23 |
| T-#69 | 0.5 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#119 |
| T-#30 | 0.8 | Turnovers | 1.3 | T-#73 |
| T-#78 | 7.0 | Penalties | 5.0 | T-#22 |
| T-#60 | 55.0 | Penalty Yards | 37.0 | #12 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#23 | 2.8 | Sacks | 1.0 | T-#114 |
| T-#27 | 1.0 | INTs | 0.0 | T-#131 |
| T-#29 | 0.8 | Fumbles Recovered | 1.0 | T-#7 |
| T-#19 | 1.8 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#70 |
| T-#34 | 7.5 | Penalties Drawn | 8.3 | T-#17 |
| #44 | 63.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 80.8 | #8 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#22 | 4-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-4 | T-#106 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Joe Harasymiak | Head Coach | Pete Lembo | ||
| T-#78 | 2 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| #126 | 0-12 | Career Record | 47-40 | #71 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 320 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Aedan McCarthy | QB | Jason Wright | ||
| #105 | +0.16 | EPA / Att | +0.06 | #125 |
| #136 | 30.3% | Success Rate | 34.9% | #132 |
| #70 | 1.52 | Explosiveness | 1.55 | #59 |
| #86 | 5.7% | Sack Rate | 7.9% | #114 |
| #134 | -0.52 | Rush EPA | +0.20 | #72 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 94.8thWR | T.Y. Harding+27.3 | Playmaker · PPA | Chance Morrow+28.8 | 95.4thWR |
| 86.7thWR | Jabari Lewis+17.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Nino Hill+8.4 | 78.5thRB |
| T-#16DB | Jahmad Harmon+14.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | SaVeon Brown+7.9 | 95.2thLB |
| 93.5thDB | Isaiah Reed+7.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Logan Goodwin+5.1 | 91.9thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#96 | 3 | 4★ Players | 0 | T-#129 |
| #112 | 42 | 3★ Players | 60 | T-#55 |
| Transfers | ||||
9 in · 9 out | OFF Transfers | 5 in · 4 out | ||
12 in · 8 out | DEF Transfers | 10 in · 10 out | ||
| 34% | OFF Returning | 7% | ||
| 31% | DEF Returning | 24% | ||