+19(-110)
SPREAD
-18.5(-112)
TOTAL · 54.5
O 54.5(-110)U 55.5(-110)
U 55.5(-110)+700
MONEYLINETOL 92%
-1100
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #77 | -0.01 | SOS Played | -0.12 | #117 |
| #126 | -0.22 | SOS Remaining | -0.23 | #132 |
| Offense | ||||
| #86 | -0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.07 | #44 |
| #114 | -0.01 | EPA / Play | +0.24 | #28 |
| #136 | 4.1 | Yards / Play | 6.9 | #17 |
| #136 | 28.9% | Success Rate | 43.9% | #45 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #125 | +0.19 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.05 | #86 |
| #101 | +0.22 | EPA / Play | +0.09 | #53 |
| #126 | 7.2 | Yards / Play | 5.5 | #54 |
| #89 | 44.2% | Success Rate | 37.1% | #25 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 BUF Offense | vs |  TOL Defense | ||
| #100 | -0.00 | EPA / Pass | +0.28 | #100 |
| #106 | -0.01 | EPA / Rush | -0.09 | #19 |
| #131 | 30.1% | Available Yards % | 46.5% | #73 |
| #127 | Own 25 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 33 | #111 |
| #128 | -0.11 | Early Downs EPA | -0.00 | #42 |
| #132 | 27.3% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 41.8% | #74 |
| #72 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.1 | #121 |
| BUF Defense | vs | TOL Offense | ||
| #129 | +0.44 | EPA / Pass | +0.36 | #19 |
| #42 | +0.04 | EPA / Rush | +0.12 | #66 |
| #118 | 56.5% | Available Yards % | 58.5% | #17 |
| #115 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 34 | #13 |
| #117 | +0.23 | Early Downs EPA | +0.30 | #5 |
| #46 | 37.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.4% | T-#60 |
| #30 | 7.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.5 | #35 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#114 | 3.0 | Sacks Taken | 0.5 | T-#5 |
| T-#35 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#15 |
| T-#131 | 1.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.3 | T-#22 |
| T-#99 | 1.7 | Turnovers | 0.5 | T-#9 |
| T-#19 | 5.0 | Penalties | 7.0 | T-#79 |
| #14 | 40.3 | Penalty Yards | 58.0 | T-#75 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#109 | 1.0 | Sacks | 2.3 | T-#50 |
| T-#126 | 0.0 | INTs | 0.5 | T-#71 |
| T-#85 | 0.3 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.8 | T-#25 |
| #132 | 0.3 | Takeaways | 1.3 | T-#49 |
| T-#87 | 6.0 | Penalties Drawn | 4.0 | T-#131 |
| #49 | 62.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 37.0 | #127 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 2-3 | T-#87 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Pete Lembo | Head Coach | Mike Jacobs | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#109 |
| #71 | 47-40 | Career Record | 0-0 | |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 264 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Jason Wright | QB | John Alan Richter | ||
| #125 | +0.05 | EPA / Att | +0.44 | #33 |
| #131 | 33.7% | Success Rate | 46.8% | #65 |
| #24 | 1.69 | Explosiveness | 1.85 | #8 |
| #97 | 6.7% | Sack Rate | 1.3% | #5 |
| #84 | +0.13 | Rush EPA | -0.37 | #126 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 95.4thWR | Chance Morrow+28.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Adjatay Dabbs+28.2 | 95.0thWR |
| 78.5thRB | Nino Hill+8.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Bryson Hammer+19.3 | 89.0thWR |
| 95.2thLB | SaVeon Brown+7.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Isaac Zay+13.7 | #8LB |
| 91.9thDL | Logan Goodwin+5.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Andrew Zock+10.0 | #17DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#129 | 0 | 4★ Players | 3 | T-#96 |
| T-#55 | 60 | 3★ Players | 57 | T-#71 |
| Transfers | ||||
5 in · 4 out | OFF Transfers | 16 in · 19 out | ||
10 in · 10 out | DEF Transfers | 14 in · 18 out | ||
| 7% | OFF Returning | 67% | ||
| 24% | DEF Returning | 32% | ||