+6.5(-110)
SPREAD
-6.5(-110)
TOTAL · 53.5
O 53.5(-110)U 53.5(-110)
U 53.5(-110)+225
MONEYLINEUVA 74%
-278
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #126 | -0.15 | SOS Played | -0.16 | #128 |
| #51 | +0.06 | SOS Remaining | +0.08 | #46 |
| Offense | ||||
| #64 | +0.00 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.12 | #108 |
| #24 | +0.26 | EPA / Play | +0.15 | #62 |
| #59 | 6.0 | Yards / Play | 5.4 | #103 |
| #82 | 41.0% | Success Rate | 42.6% | #61 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #38 | -0.09 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.06 | #53 |
| #32 | +0.03 | EPA / Play | +0.08 | #54 |
| #47 | 5.5 | Yards / Play | 5.2 | #29 |
| #54 | 40.3% | Success Rate | 38.6% | #34 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 DUKE Offense | vs |  UVA Defense | ||
| #31 | +0.29 | EPA / Pass | +0.01 | #29 |
| #24 | +0.23 | EPA / Rush | +0.14 | #84 |
| #35 | 52.8% | Available Yards % | 38.6% | #28 |
| #51 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 26 | T-#26 |
| #32 | +0.18 | Early Downs EPA | -0.01 | #35 |
| #37 | 46.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 38.5% | T-#51 |
| #52 | 6.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.6 | #34 |
| DUKE Defense | vs | UVA Offense | ||
| #49 | +0.06 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #46 |
| #26 | -0.01 | EPA / Rush | +0.09 | #74 |
| #33 | 39.6% | Available Yards % | 43.3% | #81 |
| #7 | Own 24 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #58 |
| #89 | +0.11 | Early Downs EPA | +0.05 | #77 |
| #6 | 28.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 37.9% | #91 |
| #58 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.1 | #72 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| #1 | 0.3 | Sacks Taken | 4.0 | #136 |
| T-#22 | 0.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#35 | 0.3 | Fumbles Lost | 0.2 | T-#15 |
| T-#8 | 0.5 | Turnovers | 0.2 | T-#3 |
| T-#125 | 8.5 | Penalties | 5.8 | T-#40 |
| #130 | 79.0 | Penalty Yards | 57.0 | #68 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#88 | 1.8 | Sacks | 2.2 | T-#46 |
| T-#113 | 0.3 | INTs | 0.8 | T-#40 |
| T-#57 | 0.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#112 |
| T-#111 | 0.8 | Takeaways | 1.0 | T-#74 |
| T-#3 | 9.5 | Penalties Drawn | 6.6 | T-#65 |
| #5 | 83.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 58.6 | T-#57 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#13 | 4-1 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Manny Diaz | Head Coach | Tony Elliott | ||
| T-#55 | 3 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#30 |
| #40 | 39-24 | Career Record | 22-26 | #95 |
| Situation | ||||
| 6 days | Rest | 6 days | ||
| 143 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Walker Eget | QB | Beau Pribula | ||
| #44 | +0.37 | EPA / Att | +0.39 | #37 |
| #74 | 45.5% | Success Rate | 51.1% | #28 |
| #67 | 1.53 | Explosiveness | 1.34 | #121 |
| #1 | 0.7% | Sack Rate | 10.9% | #131 |
| #123 | -0.14 | Rush EPA | +0.16 | #77 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #1RB | Nate Sheppard+50.8 | Playmaker · PPA | Jekail Middlebrook+19.5 | 94.5thRB |
| #20TE | Jeremiah Hasley+17.0 | Playmaker · PPA | Kameron Courtney+12.8 | 80.8thWR |
| 94.9thDL | Bryce Davis+6.5 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Brandyn Hillman+14.1 | T-#16DB |
| 94.4thDL | Tyshon Reed+6.2 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Keke Adams+10.5 | 97.2thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#70 | 7 | 4★ Players | 11 | T-#48 |
| T-#15 | 69 | 3★ Players | 73 | T-#10 |
| Transfers | ||||
11 in · 8 out | OFF Transfers | 13 in · 10 out | ||
8 in · 9 out | DEF Transfers | 16 in · 13 out | ||
| 16% | OFF Returning | 12% | ||
| 33% | DEF Returning | 43% | ||