+3(-110)
SPREAD
-3(-108)
TOTAL · 46.5
O 46.5(-108)U 47(-110)
U 47(-110)+150
MONEYLINEDUKE 61%
-155
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | +0.27 | SOS Played | -0.18 | #133 |
| #61 | +0.02 | SOS Remaining | +0.09 | #47 |
| Offense | ||||
| #21 | +0.16 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.03 | #72 |
| #101 | +0.03 | EPA / Play | +0.26 | #24 |
| #80 | 5.7 | Yards / Play | 6.0 | #59 |
| #79 | 41.2% | Success Rate | 41.0% | #82 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #52 | -0.05 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.09 | #39 |
| #59 | +0.09 | EPA / Play | +0.03 | #32 |
| #47 | 5.5 | Yards / Play | 5.5 | #46 |
| #90 | 43.7% | Success Rate | 40.3% | #52 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 UNC Offense | vs |  DUKE Defense | ||
| #93 | +0.04 | EPA / Pass | +0.06 | #49 |
| #101 | +0.02 | EPA / Rush | -0.01 | #26 |
| #106 | 38.5% | Available Yards % | 39.6% | #35 |
| #74 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 24 | #7 |
| #108 | -0.02 | Early Downs EPA | +0.11 | #86 |
| #90 | 38.0% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 28.6% | #6 |
| #58 | 6.8 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.2 | #57 |
| UNC Defense | vs | DUKE Offense | ||
| #43 | +0.04 | EPA / Pass | +0.29 | #32 |
| #84 | +0.14 | EPA / Rush | +0.23 | #23 |
| #86 | 48.8% | Available Yards % | 52.8% | #35 |
| #121 | Own 33 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #50 |
| #90 | +0.12 | Early Downs EPA | +0.18 | #32 |
| #59 | 39.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 46.0% | #40 |
| #119 | 6.3 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #53 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#103 | 2.5 | Sacks Taken | 0.3 | T-#1 |
| T-#121 | 1.3 | INTs Thrown | 0.3 | T-#23 |
| T-#96 | 0.8 | Fumbles Lost | 0.3 | T-#35 |
| T-#121 | 2.0 | Turnovers | 0.5 | T-#8 |
| #2 | 3.5 | Penalties | 8.5 | T-#126 |
| #1 | 24.3 | Penalty Yards | 79.0 | #131 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#60 | 2.0 | Sacks | 1.8 | T-#86 |
| T-#52 | 0.8 | INTs | 0.3 | T-#111 |
| T-#55 | 0.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#55 |
| T-#50 | 1.3 | Takeaways | 0.8 | T-#111 |
| T-#101 | 5.8 | Penalties Drawn | 9.5 | T-#3 |
| #107 | 47.3 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 83.8 | #5 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#43 | 3-2 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 4-1 | T-#13 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Bill Belichick | Head Coach | Manny Diaz | ||
| T-#78 | 2 | Seasons at School | 3 | T-#55 |
| T-#111 | 4-8 | Career Record | 39-24 | #40 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 9 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Billy Edwards | QB | Walker Eget | ||
| #91 | +0.23 | EPA / Att | +0.37 | #45 |
| #49 | 48.5% | Success Rate | 45.5% | #75 |
| #121 | 1.35 | Explosiveness | 1.53 | #68 |
| #100 | 7.0% | Sack Rate | 0.7% | #1 |
| #57 | +0.28 | Rush EPA | -0.14 | #126 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 91.9thWR | Jordan Shipp+21.5 | Playmaker · PPA | Nate Sheppard+50.8 | #1RB |
| 90.3thTE | Shamar Easter+10.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Jeremiah Hasley+17.0 | #20TE |
| T-#9DB | Greg Smith+15.1 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Bryce Davis+6.5 | 94.9thDL |
| #6DL | Xavier Lewis+12.9 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Tyshon Reed+6.2 | 94.4thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#26 | 25 | 4★ Players | 7 | T-#70 |
| T-#46 | 62 | 3★ Players | 69 | T-#15 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 18 out | OFF Transfers | 11 in · 8 out | ||
6 in · 14 out | DEF Transfers | 8 in · 9 out | ||
| 31% | OFF Returning | 16% | ||
| 39% | DEF Returning | 33% | ||