-2.5(-110)
SPREAD
+2.5(-105)
TOTAL · 48
O 48(-110)U 48.5(-115)
U 48.5(-115)-142
MONEYLINEILL 59%
+150
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #22 | +0.13 | SOS Played | +0.22 | #5 |
| #24 | +0.17 | SOS Remaining | +0.08 | #46 |
| Offense | ||||
| #25 | +0.16 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.07 | #90 |
| #41 | +0.20 | EPA / Play | -0.05 | #123 |
| #34 | 6.6 | Yards / Play | 4.6 | #130 |
| #22 | 48.0% | Success Rate | 42.7% | #58 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #124 | +0.18 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.07 | #47 |
| #132 | +0.36 | EPA / Play | +0.18 | #85 |
| #110 | 6.7 | Yards / Play | 5.7 | #64 |
| #124 | 49.6% | Success Rate | 40.2% | #51 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 ILL Offense | vs |  MSU Defense | ||
| #49 | +0.22 | EPA / Pass | +0.22 | #90 |
| #41 | +0.18 | EPA / Rush | +0.15 | #86 |
| #7 | 61.5% | Available Yards % | 46.5% | #74 |
| #96 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 29 | #71 |
| #15 | +0.26 | Early Downs EPA | +0.12 | #87 |
| T-#47 | 44.4% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 42.0% | #75 |
| #6 | 5.7 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.8 | #81 |
| ILL Defense | vs | MSU Offense | ||
| #135 | +0.50 | EPA / Pass | -0.12 | #126 |
| #114 | +0.24 | EPA / Rush | +0.02 | #98 |
| #132 | 61.5% | Available Yards % | 45.4% | #74 |
| #60 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 30 | #47 |
| #133 | +0.29 | Early Downs EPA | -0.05 | #114 |
| #133 | 54.2% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 41.0% | #71 |
| #120 | 6.1 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 5.9 | #11 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#15 | 1.0 | Sacks Taken | 3.4 | T-#126 |
| T-#46 | 0.5 | INTs Thrown | 0.8 | T-#86 |
| T-#1 | 0.0 | Fumbles Lost | 0.4 | T-#61 |
| T-#9 | 0.5 | Turnovers | 1.2 | T-#67 |
| T-#10 | 4.5 | Penalties | 3.2 | #2 |
| #23 | 43.3 | Penalty Yards | 34.0 | #7 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#131 | 0.5 | Sacks | 1.4 | T-#95 |
| T-#107 | 0.3 | INTs | 0.2 | #125 |
| T-#125 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.2 | T-#120 |
| T-#133 | 0.3 | Takeaways | 0.4 | #131 |
| #17 | 8.5 | Penalties Drawn | 5.2 | #114 |
| #17 | 75.8 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 41.4 | #119 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-2 | T-#43 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Bret Bielema | Head Coach | Pat Fitzgerald | ||
| T-#21 | 6 | Seasons at School | 1 | T-#109 |
| #42 | 134-84 | Career Record | 110-101 | #79 |
| Situation | ||||
| 7 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 266 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| Katin Houser | QB | Alessio Milivojevic | ||
| #52 | +0.37 | EPA / Att | +0.13 | #107 |
| #20 | 53.2% | Success Rate | 47.3% | #58 |
| #60 | 1.53 | Explosiveness | 1.34 | #115 |
| #40 | 3.7% | Sack Rate | 9.8% | #122 |
| #13 | +0.62 | Rush EPA | +0.28 | #60 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| #3WR | Collin Dixon+59.4 | Playmaker · PPA | Rodney Bullard Jr.+18.0 | 87.3thWR |
| 92.6thWR | Hudson Clement+22.1 | Playmaker · PPA | Jayden Savoury+11.3 | 91.2thTE |
| 95.9thLB | Ismael Kante+8.4 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Kenny Soares Jr.+9.0 | 98.5thDL |
| 88.6thDB | Matthew Bailey+5.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Eli Coenen+6.8 | 95.6thDL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#60 | 9 | 4★ Players | 11 | T-#48 |
| T-#10 | 73 | 3★ Players | 58 | T-#65 |
| Transfers | ||||
8 in · 11 out | OFF Transfers | 12 in · 21 out | ||
10 in · 15 out | DEF Transfers | 13 in · 18 out | ||
| 21% | OFF Returning | 17% | ||
| 30% | DEF Returning | 20% | ||