+3.5(-110)
SPREAD
-3(-110)
TOTAL · 50.5
O 50.5(-110)U 50.5(-110)
U 50.5(-110)+160
MONEYLINEVAN 62%
-162
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #18 | +0.24 | SOS Played | -0.03 | #77 |
| #88 | -0.06 | SOS Remaining | +0.20 | #8 |
| Offense | ||||
| #129 | -0.28 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.00 | #62 |
| #130 | -0.31 | EPA / Play | +0.08 | #78 |
| #132 | 3.3 | Yards / Play | 5.5 | #83 |
| #123 | 29.4% | Success Rate | 40.0% | T-#72 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #105 | +0.10 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.14 | #30 |
| #112 | +0.31 | EPA / Play | -0.08 | #19 |
| #86 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 5.1 | #44 |
| T-#115 | 50.0% | Success Rate | 32.4% | #19 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 NCSU Offense | vs |  VAN Defense | ||
| #132 | -0.38 | EPA / Pass | -0.23 | #13 |
| #123 | -0.22 | EPA / Rush | +0.10 | #78 |
| #127 | 20.8% | Available Yards % | 35.8% | #35 |
| #82 | Own 27 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 25 | #27 |
| #134 | -0.41 | Early Downs EPA | -0.23 | #13 |
| T-#110 | 28.6% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 29.4% | T-#24 |
| T-#62 | 7.0 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 10.7 | #1 |
| NCSU Defense | vs | VAN Offense | ||
| #136 | +0.86 | EPA / Pass | +0.17 | #66 |
| #99 | +0.19 | EPA / Rush | -0.00 | #89 |
| #65 | 45.5% | Available Yards % | 36.7% | #98 |
| #69 | Own 29 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 35 | #24 |
| #119 | +0.31 | Early Downs EPA | -0.08 | #101 |
| T-#64 | 38.9% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 36.8% | #82 |
| #136 | 3.9 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 7.7 | #98 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#68 | 2.0 | Sacks Taken | 3.0 | T-#103 |
| T-#76 | 1.0 | INTs Thrown | 0.0 | T-#1 |
| T-#91 | 1.0 | Fumbles Lost | 1.0 | T-#91 |
| T-#96 | 2.0 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#45 |
| T-#1 | 2.0 | Penalties | 6.0 | T-#48 |
| #1 | 13.0 | Penalty Yards | 36.0 | T-#26 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#81 | 1.0 | Sacks | 6.0 | #2 |
| T-#86 | 0.0 | INTs | 2.0 | T-#6 |
| T-#78 | 0.0 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.0 | T-#78 |
| T-#111 | 0.0 | Takeaways | 2.0 | T-#17 |
| T-#94 | 5.0 | Penalties Drawn | 3.0 | T-#124 |
| T-#73 | 51.0 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 18.0 | #131 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 8-5 | Last Year Record (2025) | 10-3 | T-#17 |
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Doeren | Head Coach | Clark Lea | ||
| #4 | 14 | Seasons at School | 6 | T-#21 |
| #43 | 118-74 | Career Record | 26-36 | #101 |
| Situation | ||||
| 8 days | Rest | 7 days | ||
| 453 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| CJ Bailey | QB | Jared Curtis | ||
| #53 | +0.38 | EPA / Att | +0.32 | #63 |
| #39 | 51.2% | Success Rate | 48.4% | #59 |
| #45 | 1.66 | Explosiveness | 1.56 | #66 |
| #90 | 6.8% | Sack Rate | 6.1% | #82 |
| #108 | -0.13 | Rush EPA | +0.96 | #5 |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | ||||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.1thWR | Keenan Jackson+31.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Junior Sherrill+31.3 | 96.8thWR |
| #9TE | Preston Douglas+21.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Ja'Cory Thomas+12.2 | 79.6thWR |
| 92.8thDB | Jackson Vick+6.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | CJ Heard+13.0 | 98.7thDB |
| 90.2thLB | Elijah Satchell+6.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Miles Capers+11.7 | #8DL |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 1 | T-#23 |
| T-#29 | 22 | 4★ Players | 15 | T-#43 |
| T-#60 | 59 | 3★ Players | 57 | T-#71 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 11 out | OFF Transfers | 9 in · 12 out | ||
6 in · 14 out | DEF Transfers | 10 in · 4 out | ||
| 60% | OFF Returning | 36% | ||
| 29% | DEF Returning | 51% | ||