+4(-110)
SPREAD
-4(-110)
TOTAL · 50.5
O 50.5(-110)U 50.5(-110)
U 50.5(-110)+164
MONEYLINEUVA 59%
-145
| Schedule | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #15 | +0.16 | SOS Played | +0.07 | #62 |
| — | SOS Remaining | — | ||
| OffenseNCSU 2025 final · UVA 2025 final | ||||
| #33 | +0.08 | Adj. EPA / Play | +0.03 | #50 |
| #43 | +0.15 | EPA / Play | +0.14 | #51 |
| #42 | 6.1 | Yards / Play | 5.6 | #86 |
| #77 | 41.3% | Success Rate | 41.0% | #84 |
| Defense · allowed | ||||
| #65 | -0.04 | Adj. EPA / Play | -0.16 | #26 |
| #113 | +0.18 | EPA / Play | +0.02 | #27 |
| #121 | 6.5 | Yards / Play | 5.3 | #27 |
| #50 | 40.8% | Success Rate | 37.5% | #20 |
| Success rate: Bill Connelly. Adjusted EPA: a port of sportsdataverse-py. EPA and plays: CollegeFootballData.com. Methods | ||||
 NCSU Offense | vs |  UVA Defense | ||
| #39 | +0.20 | EPA / Pass | -0.01 | #22 |
| #66 | +0.10 | EPA / Rush | +0.06 | #52 |
| #68 | 45.7% | Available Yards % | 35.3% | #13 |
| #100 | Own 28 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 28 | #31 |
| #46 | +0.09 | Early Downs EPA | -0.01 | #32 |
| T-#60 | 42.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 34.3% | #15 |
| #109 | 7.5 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.7 | #94 |
| NCSU Defense | vs | UVA Offense | ||
| #102 | +0.21 | EPA / Pass | +0.11 | #62 |
| #95 | +0.14 | EPA / Rush | +0.16 | #33 |
| #123 | 54.5% | Available Yards % | 48.2% | #49 |
| #84 | Own 30 | Starting Field Pos. | Own 32 | #24 |
| #61 | +0.05 | Early Downs EPA | +0.01 | #90 |
| #118 | 47.1% | 3rd/4th Down Success | 49.6% | #11 |
| #44 | 7.2 | Avg 3rd Down Distance | 6.1 | #9 |
| Negative Plays · committedper game | ||||
| T-#74 | 2.0 | Sacks Taken | 1.4 | T-#24 |
| T-#64 | 0.8 | INTs Thrown | 0.7 | T-#56 |
| T-#5 | 0.2 | Fumbles Lost | 0.3 | T-#18 |
| T-#15 | 0.9 | Turnovers | 1.0 | T-#22 |
| #41 | 5.4 | Penalties | 5.3 | #38 |
| #61 | 51.9 | Penalty Yards | 44.8 | #28 |
| Negative Plays · forcedper game | ||||
| T-#108 | 1.5 | Sacks | 2.1 | T-#60 |
| T-#66 | 0.8 | INTs | 1.1 | T-#27 |
| T-#62 | 0.5 | Fumbles Recovered | 0.5 | T-#72 |
| T-#71 | 1.3 | Takeaways | 1.5 | T-#37 |
| T-#25 | 7.0 | Penalties Drawn | 5.0 | T-#112 |
| #18 | 64.7 | Penalty Yds Drawn | 45.2 | #102 |
| Record | ||||
| T-#50 | 8-5 | Last Year Record (2025) | 11-3 | T-#15 |
| T-#106 | 2-4 | Current Year ATS (2026) | 3-3 | T-#53 |
| Coaching | ||||
| Dave Doeren | Head Coach | Tony Elliott | ||
| #4 | 14 | Seasons at School | 5 | T-#30 |
| #43 | 118-74 | Career Record | 22-26 | #95 |
| Situation | ||||
| — | Rest | — | ||
| 155 mi | Travel | Home | ||
| CJ Bailey | QB | — | ||
| #37 | +0.32 | EPA / Att | — | |
| #55 | 45.3% | Success Rate | — | |
| #32 | 1.57 | Explosiveness | — | |
| #67 | 4.8% | Sack Rate | — | |
| #43 | +0.35 | Rush EPA | — | |
| Last 8 · EPA / Att | — | |||
| Game Breakers | ||||
| 97.1thWR | Keenan Jackson+31.7 | Playmaker · PPA | Jekail Middlebrook+19.5 | 94.5thRB |
| #9TE | Preston Douglas+21.6 | Playmaker · PPA | Kameron Courtney+12.8 | 80.8thWR |
| 92.8thDB | Jackson Vick+6.8 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Brandyn Hillman+14.1 | T-#16DB |
| 90.2thLB | Elijah Satchell+6.0 | Defender · Havoc EPA | Keke Adams+10.5 | 97.2thDB |
| Recruiting | ||||
| T-#37 | 0 | 5★ Players | 0 | T-#37 |
| T-#29 | 22 | 4★ Players | 11 | T-#48 |
| T-#60 | 59 | 3★ Players | 73 | T-#10 |
| Transfers | ||||
12 in · 11 out | OFF Transfers | 13 in · 10 out | ||
6 in · 14 out | DEF Transfers | 16 in · 13 out | ||
| 60% | OFF Returning | 12% | ||
| 29% | DEF Returning | 43% | ||